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We study inhomogeneous host-pathogen dynamics to model the global amphibian population extinction in a lake basin system. The lake basin system is modeled as quenched disorder. In this model we show that once the pathogen arrives at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-03 Trilochan Bagarti

We study the evolution in discrete time of certain age-structured populations, such as adults and juveniles, with a Ricker fitness function. We determine conditions for the convergence of orbits to the origin (extinction) in the presence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-10 N. Lazaryan , H. Sedaghat

A fundamental problem in the fields of population genetics, evolution, and community ecology, is the fate of a single mutant, or invader, introduced in a finite population of wild types. For a fixed-size community of $N$ individuals, with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-25 Matan Danino , Nadav M. Shnerb

We study the dynamics of colonization of a territory by a stochastic population at low immigration pressure. We assume a sufficiently strong Allee effect that introduces, in deterministic theory, a large critical population size for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-30 Shay Be'er , Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

Protecting endangered species has been an important issue in ecology. We derive a reaction-diffusion model for a population in a one-dimensional bounded habitat, where the population is subjected to a strong Allee effect in its natural…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Yu Jin , Rui Peng , Jinfeng Wang

Population genetics struggles to model extinction; standard models track the relative rather than absolute fitness of genotypes, while the exceptions describe only the short-term transition from imminent doom to evolutionary rescue. But…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jason Bertram , Kevin Gomez , Joanna Masel

Understanding the conditions ensuring the persistence of a population is an issue of primary importance in population biology. The first theoretical approach to the problem dates back to the 50's with the KiSS (after Kierstead, Slobodkin…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 Stefano Berti , Massimo Cencini , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani

In stochastic population dynamics, stochastic wandering can produce transition to an absorbing state. In particular, under Allee effects, low densities amplify the possibility of population collapse. We investigate this in an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

Population dynamics is constrained by the environment, which needs to obey certain conditions to support population growth. We consider a standard model for the evolution of a single species population density, that includes reproduction,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-18 E. H. Colombo , C. Anteneodo

Species populations often modify their environment as they grow. When environmental feedback operates more slowly than population growth, the system can undergo boom-bust dynamics, where the population overshoots its carrying capacity and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Pablo Moreno-Spiegelberg , Javier Aguilar

The idea of a metapopulation has become canonical in ecology. Its original mean field form provides the important intuition that migration and extinction interact to determine the dynamics of a population composed of subpopulations. From…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-01 John Vandermeer , Zachary Hajian-Forooshani

In population biology, the Allee dynamics refer to negative growth rates below a critical population density. In this Letter, we study a reaction-diffusion (RD) model of population growth and dispersion in one dimension, which incorporates…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-02 Indrani Bose , Mainak Pal , Chiranjit Karmakar

Density dependent Markov population processes in large populations of size $N$ were shown by Kurtz (1970, 1971) to be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-15 A. D. Barbour , Kais Hamza , Haya Kaspi , Fima Klebaner

The Verhulst model is probably the best known macroscopic rate equation in population ecology. It depends on two parameters, the intrinsic growth rate and the carrying capacity. These parameters can be estimated for different populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Vicenç Méndez , Michael Assaf , Daniel Campos , Werner Horsthemke

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Population dynamics reflects an underlying birth-death process, where the rates associated with different events may depend on external environmental conditions and on the population density. A whole family of simple and popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-03 Yitzhak Yahalom , Bnaya Steinmetz , Nadav M. Shnerb

We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

We study stochastic extinction for a class of Markov processes motivated by models in ecology and epidemiology. Extinction is often characterized by a boundedness condition and a condition on boundary Lyapunov exponents (invasion rates).…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nhu Nguyen , Dang H. Nguyen

Species extinction is a core process that affects the diversity of life on Earth. Competition between species in a population is considered by ecological niche-based theories as a key factor leading to different severity of species…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Ivan Sudakov , Sergey A. Vakulenko , John T. Bruun

We investigate invasions from a biological reservoir to an initially empty, heterogeneous habitat in the presence of advection. The habitat consists of a periodic alternation of favorable and unfavorable patches. In the latter the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-27 Davide Vergni , Sandro Iannaccone , Stefano Berti , Massimo Cencini