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We consider the problem of numerical approximation of integrals of random fields over a unit hypercube. We use a stratified Monte Carlo quadrature and measure the approximation performance by the mean squared error. The quadrature is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Konrad Abramowicz , Oleg Seleznjev

This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Seung Min Baik , Eunshin Byon , Young Myoung Ko

We consider the problem of online stratified sampling for Monte Carlo integration of a function given a finite budget of $n$ noisy evaluations to the function. More precisely we focus on the problem of choosing the number of strata $K$ as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Alexandra Carpentier , Rémi Munos

Estimating the expectation of a real-valued function of a random variable from sample data is a critical aspect of statistical analysis, with far-reaching implications in various applications. Current methodologies typically assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Paweł Lorek , Rafał Nowak , Rafał Topolnicki , Tomasz Trzciński , Maciej Zięba , Aleksandra Krystecka

In this paper, we propose a stratified sampling algorithm in which the random drawings made in the strata to compute the expectation of interest are also used to adaptively modify the proportion of further drawings in each stratum. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-04 Pierre Etore , Benjamin Jourdain

We investigate in this paper an alternative method to simulation based recursive importance sampling procedure to estimate the optimal change of measure for Monte Carlo simulations. We propose an algorithm which combines (vector and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-20 Noufel Frikha , Abass Sagna

A balanced sampling design should always be the adopted strategies if auxiliary information is available. Besides, integrating a stratified structure of the population in the sampling process can considerably reduce the variance of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-03 Raphaël Jauslin , Esther Eustache , Yves Tillé

In this paper we propose and discuss variance reduction techniques for the estimation of quantiles of the output of a complex model with random input parameters. These techniques are based on the use of a reduced model, such as a metamodel…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 Claire Cannamela , Josselin Garnier , Bertrand Iooss

This paper focuses on signal processing tasks in which the signal is transformed from the signal space to a higher dimensional coefficient space (also called phase space) using a continuous frame, processed in the coefficient space, and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Ron Levie , Haim Avron

Monte Carlo integration is a powerful tool for scientific and statistical computation, but faces significant challenges when the integrand is a multi-modal distribution, even when the mode locations are known. This work introduces novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Fei Ding , Shiyuan He , David E. Jones , Xiao-Li Meng

This paper studies a two-stage model of experimentation, where the researcher first samples representative units from an eligible pool, then assigns each sampled unit to treatment or control. To implement balanced sampling and assignment,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-22 Max Cytrynbaum

Sampling-based approaches are widely used in systems without analytic models to estimate risk or find optimal control. However, gathering sufficient data in such scenarios can be prohibitively costly. On the other hand, in many situations,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-16 Zhuoyuan Wang , Takashi Tanaka , Yongxin Chen , Yorie Nakahira

This paper develops a unified framework for partial identification and inference in stratified experiments with attrition, accommodating both equal and heterogeneous treatment shares across strata. For equal-share designs, we apply recent…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Bruno Ferman , Davi Siqueira , Vitor Possebom

Many machine learning applications require operating on a spatially distributed dataset. Despite technological advances, privacy considerations and communication constraints may prevent gathering the entire dataset in a central unit. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Licio Romao , Mert Pilanci , Alessandro Abate , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This study combines simulated annealing with delta evaluation to solve the joint stratification and sample allocation problem. In this problem, atomic strata are partitioned into mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive strata. Each…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Mervyn O'Luing , Steven Prestwich , S. Armagan Tarim

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

Control variates are a well-established tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. However, for large-scale problems including high-dimensional and large-sample settings, their advantages can be outweighed by a substantial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Shijing Si , Chris. J. Oates , Andrew B. Duncan , Lawrence Carin , François-Xavier Briol

In this paper, we develop a simulation-based approach to optimisation with multi-modal functions using slice sampling. Our method specifies the objective function as an energy potential in a Boltzmann distribution and then we use auxiliary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-12-11 John R. Birge , Nicholas G. Polson

Online controlled experiments, also known as A/B testing, are the digital equivalent of randomized controlled trials for estimating the impact of marketing campaigns on website visitors. Stratified sampling is a traditional technique for…

Quasi-probability decompositions (QPDs) have proven essential in many quantum algorithms and protocols -- one replaces a ``difficult'' quantum circuit with an ensemble of ``easier'' circuit variants whose weighted outcomes reproduce any…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-13 Joshua W. Dai , Bálint Koczor