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Accessible epidemiological data are of great value for emergency preparedness and response, understanding disease progression through a population, and building statistical and mechanistic disease models that enable forecasting. The status…

Epidemics exhibit interconnected processes that operate at multiple time and organizational scales, a hallmark of complex adaptive systems. Modern epidemiological modeling frameworks incorporate feedback between individual-level behavioral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Baltazar Espinoza , Roger Sanchez , Jimmy Calvo-Monge , Fabio Sanchez

The contact structure of the population shapes the progression of epidemics. Nonetheless, the joint evolution of individual behavioral adaptations and disease dynamics on networks remains poorly understood. We use a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-27 Baltazar Espinoza , Jimmy Calvo-Monge , Fabio Sanchez , Simon A. Levin , Madhav Marathe

During a public health crisis like COVID-19, individuals' adoption of protective behaviors, such as self-isolation and wearing masks, can significantly impact the spread of the disease. In the meanwhile, the spread of the disease can also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-27 Wenxiang Dong , H. Vicky Zhao

The spontaneous behavioral changes of the agents during an epidemic can have significant effects on the delay and the prevalence of its spread. In this work, we study a social distancing game among the agents of a population, who determine…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-13 A. -R. Lagos , I. Kordonis , G. P. Papavassilopoulos

In this paper we study the susceptible-infectious (SI) epidemiological model using dynamical graphs. Dynamical structures have been recently applied in many areas including complex systems. Dynamical structures include the mutual…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-19 Jose L. Herrera , Gilberto Gonzalez-Parra

There has been interest in the interactions between infectious disease dynamics and behaviour for most of the history of mathematical epidemiology. This has included consideration of which mathematical models best capture each phenomenon,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-09 Matthew Ryan , Roslyn I. Hickson , Edward M. Hill , Thomas House , Valerie Isham , Dongni Zhang , Mick G. Roberts

Understanding the interplay between human behavioral phenomena and infectious disease dynamics has been one of the central challenges of mathematical epidemiology. However, socio-cognitive processes critical for the initiation of desired…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-01 Qingchu Wu , Tarik Hadzibeganovic , Xiao-Pu Han

The symptoms of many infectious diseases influence their host to withdraw from social activity limiting their own potential to spread. Successful transmission therefore requires the onset of infectiousness to coincide with a time when its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-27 Ewan Colman , Kristen Spies , Shweta Bansal

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Human cognitive responses, behavioral responses, and disease dynamics co-evolve over the course of any disease outbreak, and can result in complex feedbacks. We present a dynamic agent-based model that explicitly couples the spread of…

After the recent COVID-19 outbreaks, it became increasingly evident that individuals' thoughts and beliefs can have a strong impact on disease transmission. It becomes therefore important to understand how information and opinions on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-27 Giacomo Albi , Elisa Calzola , Giacomo Dimarco , Mattia Zanella

The problem of mapping human close-range proximity networks has been tackled using a variety of technical approaches. Wearable electronic devices, in particular, have proven to be particularly successful in a variety of settings relevant…

Modelling epidemics via classical population-based models suffers from shortcomings that so-called individual-based models are able to overcome, as they are able to take heterogeneity features into account, such as super-spreaders, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-16 C. Courtès , E. Franck , K. Lutz , L. Navoret , Y. Privat

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

A key scientific challenge during the outbreak of novel infectious diseases is to predict how the course of the epidemic changes under different countermeasures that limit interaction in the population. Most epidemiological models do not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-25 Mansi Sood , Anirudh Sridhar , Rashad Eletreby , Chai Wah Wu , Simon A. Levin , H. Vincent Poor , Osman Yagan

Social interactions shape the patterns of spreading processes in a population. Techniques such as diaries or proximity sensors allow to collect data about encounters and to build networks of contacts between individuals. The contact…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-28 Rossana Mastrandrea , Alain Barrat

Competition and collaboration are at the heart of multi-agent probabilistic spreading processes. The battle on public opinion and competitive marketing campaigns are typical examples of the former, while the joint spread of multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-17 Hanlin Sun , David Saad , Andrey Y. Lokhov

The COronaVIrus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic that has had the world in its grip from the beginning of 2020, has resulted in an unprecedented level of public interest and media attention on the field of mathematical epidemiology. Ever…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-25 Sitabhra Sinha