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200 papers

The contact structure between hosts has a critical influence on disease spread. However, most networkbased models used in epidemiology tend to ignore heterogeneity in the weighting of contacts. This assumption is known to be at odds with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-03 Christel Kamp , Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre , Samuel Alizon

Implementing a lockdown for disease mitigation is a balancing act: Non-pharmaceutical interventions can reduce disease transmission significantly, but interventions also have considerable societal costs. Therefore, decision-makers need near…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-01 Andreas Koher , Frederik Jørgensen , Michael Bang Petersen , Sune Lehmann

We propose an epidemic model for the spread of vector-borne diseases. The model, which is built extending the classical susceptible-infected-susceptible model, accounts for two populations -- humans and vectors -- and for cross-contagion…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Lorenzo Zino , Alessandro Casu , Alessandro Rizzo

For many infectious disease outbreaks, the at-risk population changes their behavior in response to the outbreak severity, causing the transmission dynamics to change in real-time. Behavioral change is often ignored in epidemic modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-25 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought forth the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy as a whole. While forecasting epidemic progression is frequently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Alexander Rodríguez , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Pulak Agarwal , Javen Ho , Mira Patel , Suchet Sapre , B. Aditya Prakash

The last decade saw the advent of increasingly realistic epidemic models that leverage on the availability of highly detailed census and human mobility data. Data-driven models aim at a granularity down to the level of households or single…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-10 Nicola Perra , Duygu Balcan , Bruno Gonçalves , Alessandro Vespignani

We study the impact of contact heterogeneity on epidemic dynamics. A system characterized by multiple susceptible populations is considered. The description of the spread of an infectious disease is obtained through the study of a system of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-11 Andrea Medaglia , Mattia Zanella

We present two new models for interacting populations subject to a transmissible disease. The novelty lies in the assumption that herd behavior influences the disease incidence, rather than the demographic description of the interactions,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-05-19 Ezio Venturino

One of the major issues in the theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to…

The modeling of the spreading of communicable diseases has experienced significant advances in the last two decades or so. This has been possible due to the proliferation of data and the development of new methods to gather, mine and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Alberto Aleta , Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Yamir Moreno

The global public health landscape is perpetually challenged by the looming threat of infectious diseases. Central to addressing this concern is the imperative to prevent and manage disease transmission during pandemics, particularly in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-19 Xue Liu , Yue Deng , Jingying Huang , Yuhong Zhang , Jinzhi Lei

In this work, the aim is to study the spread of a contagious disease and information on a multilayer social system. The main idea is to find a criterion under which the adoption of the spreading information blocks or suppresses the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

Motivated by epidemics such as COVID-19, we study the spread of a contagious disease when behavior responds to the disease's prevalence. We extend the SIR epidemiological model to include endogenous meeting rates. Individuals benefit from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-25 Krishna Dasaratha

We develop a mathematical framework to study the economic impact of infectious diseases by integrating epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic model of wealth exchange. The multi-agent description leads to study the evolution over time of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-12 G. Dimarco , L. Pareschi , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

The workplace influences the safety, health, and productivity of workers at multiple levels. To protect and promote total worker health, smart hardware, and software tools have emerged for the identification, elimination, substitution, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-25 Vishal Patel , Austin Chesmore , Christopher M. Legner , Santosh Pandey

Most studies of disease spreading consider the underlying social network as obtained without the contagion, though epidemic influences people's willingness to contact others: A "friendly" contact may be turned to "unfriendly" to avoid…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-10 M. Saeedian , N. Azimi-Tafreshi , G. R. Jafari , J. Kertesz

Given the increasing complexity of many sociotechnical work domains, effective teamwork has become increasingly crucial. While there is evidence that face-to-face communication contributes to effective teamwork, methods for understanding…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Travis J. Wiltshire , Dan Hudson , Philia Lijdsman , Stijn Wever , Martin Atzmueller

Disease spread in most biological populations requires the proximity of agents. In populations where the individuals have spatial mobility, the contact graph is generated by the "collision dynamics" of the agents, and thus the evolution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-07 Z. Toroczkai , H. Guclu

The concept of the mutual influence that awareness and disease may exert on each other has recently presented significant challenges. The actions individuals take to prevent contracting a disease and their level of awareness can profoundly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Sara Shabani , Sahar Jafarbegloo , Sadegh Raeisi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

Households play a crucial role in the propagation of infectious diseases due to the frequent and prolonged interactions that typically occur between their members. Recent studies have emphasized the need to include socioeconomic variables…