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We investigate the maximum caliber variational principle as an inference algorithm used to predict dynamical properties of complex nonequilibrium, stationary, statistical systems in the presence of incomplete information. Specifically, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Carlo Cafaro , Sean Alan Ali

We study the trajectories of a single colloidal particle as it hops between two energy wells A and B, which are sculpted using adjacent optical traps by controlling their respective power levels and separation. Whereas the dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-03-05 David Wu , Kingshuk Ghosh , Mandar Inamdar , Heun Jin Lee , Scott Fraser , Ken Dill , Rob Phillips

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

We review here {\it Maximum Caliber} (Max Cal), a general variational principle for inferring distributions of paths in dynamical processes and networks. Max Cal is to dynamical trajectories what the principle of {\it Maximum Entropy} (Max…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-17 Purushottam D. Dixit , Jason Wagoner , Corey Weistuch , Steve Pressé , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken A. Dill

We present a principled approach for estimating the matrix of microscopic rates among states of a Markov process, given only its stationary state population distribution and a single average global kinetic observable. We adapt Maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-17 Purushottam D. Dixit , Ken A. Dill

We present new algorithms for computing and approximating bisimulation metrics in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Bisimulation metrics are an elegant formalism that capture behavioral equivalence between states and provide strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Pablo Samuel Castro

Maximum Caliber (Max Cal) is purported to be a general variational principle for Non-Equilibrium Statistical Physics (NESP). But recently, Jack and Evans and Maes have raised concerns about how Max Cal handles dissipative processes. Here,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-31 Luca Agozzino , Ken A Dill

The characterization of network and biophysical properties from neural spiking activity is an important goal in neuroscience. A framework that provides unbiased inference on causal synaptic interaction and single neural properties has been…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-27 Kevin S. Chen , Ying-Jen Yang

We characterize equilibrium properties and relaxation dynamics of a two-dimensional lattice containing, at each site, two particles connected by a double-well potential (dumbbell). Dumbbells are oriented in the orthogonal direction with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-27 Quentin Novinger , Antonio Suma , Daniel Sigg , Giuseppe Gonnella , Vincenzo Carnevale

Computer simulations generate microscopic trajectories of complex systems at a single thermodynamic state point. We recently introduced a Maximum Caliber (MaxCal) approach for dynamical reweighting. Our approach mapped these trajectories to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-14 Marius Bause , Tristan Bereau

The signal from many single molecule experiments monitoring molecular processes, such as enzyme turnover via fluorescence and opening and closing of ion channel via the flux of ions, consists of a time series of stochastic on and off (or…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Ophir Flomenbom , Robert J. Silbey

A statistical, path-dependent framework to describe time-dependent macroscopic theories using the Principle of Maximum Caliber is presented. By means of this procedure, it is possible to infer predictive non-equilibrium statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-20 Ignacio Tapia , Gonzalo Gutiérrez , Sergio Davis

There has been interest in finding a general variational principle for non-equilibrium statistical mechanics. We give evidence that Maximum Caliber (Max Cal) is such a principle. Max Cal, a variant of Maximum Entropy, predicts dynamical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-02 Michael J. Hazoglou , Valentin Walther , Purushottam D. Dixit , Ken A. Dill

Schr\"odinger bridges have emerged as an enabling framework for unveiling the stochastic dynamics of systems based on marginal observations at different points in time. The terminology "bridge'' refers to a probability law that suitably…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-05 Olga Movilla Miangolarra , Asmaa Eldesoukey , Tryphon T. Georgiou

A major challenge for community ecology is using spatio-temporal data to infer parameters of dynamical models without conducting laborious experiments. We present a novel framework from statistical physics -- Maximum Caliber -- to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-07 Zachary Jackson , Mathew A. Leibold , Robert D. Holt , BingKan Xue

A theoretical framework is presented for the estimation of nucleation times in systems with Brownian type dynamics. This framework is applied to a prototype system: the two-dimensional Ising model with spin-flip dynamics in an external…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 K. Brendel , G. T. Barkema , H. van Beijeren

Multi-agent systems can be successfully described by kinetic models, which allow one to explore the large scale aggregate trends resulting from elementary microscopic interactions. The latter may be formalised as collision-like rules, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-06 Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

The foundations of Statistical Mechanics can be recovered almost in their entirety from the Principle of Maximum Entropy. In this work we show that its non-equilibrium generalization, the Principle of Maximum Caliber (Jaynes, 1980), when…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-08-01 Diego González , Sergio Davis , Gonzalo Gutiérrez

This paper provides an overview of the research on the metastable behavior of the Ising model. We analyze the transition times from the set of metastable states to the set of the stable states by identifying the critical configurations that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-13 Vanessa Jacquier

The dynamics of the spins in the Ising model are analyzed using a virtual walk scenario. The system is quenched from a very high temperature to a lower one using the Glauber scheme in one and two dimensions. A walk is associated with each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-11 Amit Pradhan , Parongama Sen , Sagnik Seth
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