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We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

In this paper, we study a subclass of piecewise-deterministic Markov processes with a Polish state space, involving deterministic motion punctuated by random jumps that occur at exponentially distributed time intervals. Over each of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We introduce a novel technique to find the asymptotic time behaviour of deterministic systems exhibiting anomalous diffusion. The procedure is tested for various classes of simple but physically relevant 1-D maps and possible relevance of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 Roberto Artuso , Giulio Casati , Roberto Lombardi

Semi-Levy process is an additive process with periodically stationary increments. In particular, it is a generalization of Levy process. The dichotomy of recurrence and transience of Levy processes is well known, but this is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Makoto Maejima , Taisuke Takamune , Yohei Ueda

Prime numbers appeared in contexts spanning statistical mechanics, quantum mechanics and dynamical systems. However, the mechanisms governing the irregularities observed in their sequence and linking them to physical systems remained…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-19 Marzena Ciszak

Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 David Janz , Brooks Paige , Tom Rainforth , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood

A method is presented for finding the Lie point symmetry transformations acting simultaneously on difference equations and lattices, while leaving the solution set of the corresponding difference scheme invariant. The method is applied to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-07-10 Decio Levi , Sébastien Tremblay , Pavel Winternitz

The time it takes the fastest searcher out of $N\gg1$ searchers to find a target determines the timescale of many physical, chemical, and biological processes. This time is called an extreme first passage time (FPT) and is typically much…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Sean D Lawley

This book covers a wide range of problems involving the applications of stochastic processes, stochastic calculus, large deviation theory, group representation theory and quantum statistics to diverse fields in dynamical systems,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-08-13 Harish Parthasarathy

We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

In this paper is described the general aspect of a numerical method for piecewise determin-istic Markov processes with boundary. Under very natural hypotheses, a crucial result about uniqueness of solution of a generalized Kolmogorov…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-10-25 Ludovic Goudenège

Quantum theory predicts probabilities as well as relative phases between different alternatives of the system. A unified description of both probabilities and phases comes through a generalisation of the notion of a density matrix for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Charis Anastopoulos

The need to explain the output from Machine Learning systems designed to predict the outcomes of legal cases has led to a renewed interest in the explanations offered by traditional AI and Law systems, especially those using factor based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Trevor Bench-Capon

Here we present a combinatorial decision problem, inspired by the celebrated quiz show called the countdown, that involves the computation of a given target number T from a set of k randomly chosen integers along with a set of arithmetic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 Lucas Lacasa , Bartolo Luque

Several two-boundary problems are solved for a special L\'{e}vy process: the Poisson process with an exponential component. The jumps of this process are controlled by a homogeneous Poisson process, the positive jump size distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Tetyana Kadankova , Noël Veraverbeke

Certain deterministic non-linear systems may show chaotic behaviour. Time series derived from such systems seem stochastic when analyzed with linear techniques. However, uncovering the deterministic structure is important because it allows…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Nils Christophersen

Recent literature highlights the advantages of implementing social rules via dynamic game forms. We characterize when truth-telling remains a dominant strategy in gradual mechanisms implementing strategy-proof social rules, where agents…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-03-27 Wenqian Wang , Zhiwen Zheng

The formalism used in describing the thermodynamics of abrupt (or first-order) phase transitions is reviewed as an application of maximum entropy inference. In this treatment, we show that the concepts of transition temperature, latent heat…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-01 Sergio Davis , Joaquín Peralta , Yasmín Navarrete , Diego González , Gonzalo Gutiérrez

In these lectures I will review the approach to glasses based on the replica formalism. Many of the physical ideas are very similar to those of older approaches. The replica approach has the advantage of describing in an unified setting…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Giorgio Parisi

Inference on high-dimensional parameters in structured linear models is an important statistical problem. This paper focuses on the case of a piecewise polynomial Gaussian sequence model, and we develop a new empirical Bayes solution that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Chang Liu , Ryan Martin , Weining Shen
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