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The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

The time-dependent survival probability function $S(t;x_0,q)$ of biased Sisyphus random walkers, who at each time step have a finite probability $q$ to step towards an absorbing trap at the origin and a complementary probability $1-q$ to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-11 Shahar Hod

Copulas have now become ubiquitous statistical tools for describing, analysing and modelling dependence between random variables. Sklar's theorem, "the fundamental theorem of copulas", makes a clear distinction between the continuous case…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Gery Geenens

In many real problems, dependence structures more general than exchangeability are required. For instance, in some settings partial exchangeability is a more reasonable assumption. For this reason, vectors of dependent Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Alan Riva Palacio , Fabrizio Leisen

We propose a unified framework for equity and credit risk modeling, where the default time is a doubly stochastic random time with intensity driven by an underlying affine factor process. This approach allows for flexible interactions…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-19 Claudio Fontana , Juan Miguel A. Montes

We detect the parameter sensitivities of bond pricing which is driven by a Brownian motion and a compound Poisson process as the discontinuous case in credit risk research. The strict mathematical deductions are given theoretically due to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-29 Bin Xie , Weiping Li

Extreme-value copulas arise in the asymptotic theory for componentwise maxima of independent random samples. An extreme-value copula is determined by its Pickands dependence function, which is a function on the unit simplex subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-30 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

Copulas are functions that describe dependence structures of random vectors, without describing their univariate marginals. In statistics, the separation is sometimes useful, the quality and/or quantity of available information on these two…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-14 Oskar Laverny , Santiago Jimenez

Under a mild condition we give closed-form expressions for copulas of systems that consist of maxima and of minima of subvectors of a given random vector $X$ with continuous marginals. Said expressions appear explicit in the copula of $X$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-31 Matija Vidmar , Matjaž Omladič

The two main approaches in credit risk are the structural approach pioneered in Merton (1974) and the reduced-form framework proposed in Jarrow & Turnbull (1995) and in Artzner & Delbaen (1995). The goal of this article is to provide a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 Frank Gehmlich , Thorsten Schmidt

In this paper, we study a continuous time structural asset value model for two correlated firms using a two-dimensional Brownian motion. We consider the situation of incomplete information, where the information set available to the market…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-28 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Harry Zheng

In this note, we develop stock option price approximations for a model which takes both the risk o default and the stochastic volatility into account. We also let the intensity of defaults be influenced by the volatility. We show that it…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-12-21 Erhan Bayraktar

The present paper introduces a structural framework to model dependent defaults, with a particular interest in their contagion.

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-29 Jiro Akahori , Hai Ha Pham

Stochastic modelling of fatigue (and other material's deterioration), as well as of cumulative damage in risk theory, are often based on compound sums of independent random variables, where the number of addends is represented by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-02 L. Beghin , J. Gajda , A. Maheshwari

In this paper, we introduce a model that adds a non-linearity to discounting: the discounting factor may depend on the notional (i.e., discounted values are no longer linear in the notional). In the first part of the paper, we provide a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-26 Christian P. Fries

This paper introduces an innovative method for constructing copula models capable of describing arbitrary non-monotone dependence structures. The proposed method enables the creation of such copulas in parametric form, thus allowing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Manfred Marvin Marchione , Fabio Baione

In this paper, we analyze a L{\'e}vy model based on two popular concepts - subordination and L{\'e}vy copulas. More precisely, we consider a two-dimensional L{\'e}vy process such that each component is a time-changed (subordinated) Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-10 Vladimir Panov , Igor Sirotkin

Copulas allow a flexible and simultaneous modeling of complicated dependence structures together with various marginal distributions. Especially if the density function can be represented as the product of the marginal density functions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-31 Jae Youn Ahn , Sebastian Fuchs , Rosy Oh

This paper characterizes the probability of a market failure defined as the default of two or more globally systemically important banks (G-SIBs) in a small interval of time. The default probabilities of the G-SIBs are correlated through…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-27 Robert Jarrow , Philip Protter , Alejandra Quintos

Motivated by recently investigated results on dependence measures and robust risk models, this paper provides an overview of dependence properties of many well-known bivariate copula families, where the focus is on the Schur order for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Jonathan Ansari , Marcus Rockel