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We performed a comprehensive analysis on the price bounds of CDO tranche options, and illustrated that the CDO tranche option prices can be effectively bounded by the joint distribution of default time (JDDT) from a default time copula.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-13 Yadong Li , Ariye Shater

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

In this paper, we analyze the relative errors in various reliability measures due to the tacit assumption that the components associated with a $n$-component series system or a parallel system are independently working where the components…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda Kumar Nanda , Subhashree Patra

In this work we study the problem of constructing stochastic processes with a predetermined covariance decay by parameterizing its marginals and a given family of copulas. We show that the proposed methodology is compatibility-free and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Guilherme Pumi , Sílvia R. C. Lopes

We study a new measure of codependency in the second moment of a continuous-time multivariate asset price process, which we name the realized copula of volatility. The statistic is based on local volatility estimates constructed from…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kim Christensen , Wenjing Liu , Zhi Liu , Yoann Potiron

We introduce a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures. This approach is easily seen to generalize other approaches to modeling uncertainty, such as probability measures, belief functions, and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Nir Friedman , Joseph Y. Halpern

Cardiovascular diseases are major causes of mortality globally. They often co-occur and are interrelated, leading to partial-order relationships among their onset times. However, these onset times are subject to informative censoring due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Tonghui Yu , Liming Xiang

In this work we want to provide a general principle to evaluate the CVA (Credit Value Adjustment) for a vulnerable option, that is an option subject to some default event, concerning the solvability of the issuer. CVA is needed to evaluate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-31 Elisa Alos , Fabio Antonelli , Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

Copulas are now frequently used to construct or estimate multivariate distributions because of their ability to take into account the multivariate dependence of the different variables while separately specifying marginal distributions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-02 Mohamad A. Khaled , Robert Kohn

In this paper we discuss a credit risk model with a pure jump L\'evy process for the asset value and an unobservable random barrier. The default time is the first time when the asset value falls below the barrier. Using the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-16 Xin Dong , Harry Zheng

Factor models are a parsimonious way to explain the dependence of variables using several latent variables. In Gaussian 1-factor and structural factor models (such as bi-factor, oblique factor) and their factor copula counterparts, factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-31 Xinyao Fan , Harry Joe

Our purpose is to model the dependence between two random variables, taking into account a priori knowledge on these variables. For example, in many applications (oceanography, finance...), there exists an order relation between the two…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-22 Dominique Drouet Mari , Valerie Monbet

We introduce the general arbitrage-free valuation framework for counterparty risk adjustments in presence of bilateral default risk, including default of the investor. We illustrate the symmetry in the valuation and show that the adjustment…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-19 Damiano Brigo , Agostino Capponi

Copula modelling has in the past decade become a standard tool in many areas of applied statistics. However, a largely neglected aspect concerns the design of related experiments. Particularly the issue of whether the estimation of copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-12 Elisa Perrone , Werner G. Müller

Levy copulas are the most general concept to capture jump dependence in multivariate Levy processes. They translate the intuition and many features of the copula concept into a time series setting. A challenge faced by both, distributional…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2012-09-21 Oliver Grothe , Stephan Nicklas

We show how to analyze and interpret the correlation structures, the conditional expectation values and correlation coefficients of exchangeable Bernoulli random variables. We study implied default distributions for the iTraxx-CJ tranches…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 S. Mori , K. Kitsukawa , M. Hisakado

The empirical copula process plays a central role in the asymptotic analysis of many statistical procedures which are based on copulas or ranks. Among other applications, results regarding its weak convergence can be used to develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-24 Axel Bücher , Betina Berghaus , Stanislav Volgushev

We investigate under which conditions a single simulation of joint default times at a final time horizon can be decomposed into a set of simulations of joint defaults on subsequent adjacent sub-periods leading to that final horizon. Besides…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-02 Damiano Brigo , Jan-Frederik Mai , Matthias Scherer

A bivariate integer-valued autoregressive process of order 1 (BINAR(1)) with copula-joint innovations is studied. Different parameter estimation methods are analyzed and compared via Monte Carlo simulations with emphasis on estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-07 Andrius Buteikis , Remigijus Leipus

Modeling of high order multivariate probability distribution is a difficult problem which occurs in many fields. Copula approach is a good choice for this purpose, but the curse of dimensionality still remains a problem. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-16 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai
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