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The large underlying assumption of climate models today relies on the basis of a "confident" initial condition, a reasonably plausible snapshot of the Earth for which all future predictions depend on. However, given the inherently chaotic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Valerie Tsao , Nathaniel W. Chaney , Manolis Veveakis

There is growing evidence in the epidemiologic literature of the relationship between air pollution and adverse health outcomes. Prediction of individual air pollution exposure in the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) funded…

Air pollution remains a major environmental risk factor that is often associated with adverse health outcomes. However, quantifying and evaluating its effects on human health is challenging due to the complex nature of exposure data. Recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Soumyakanti Pan , Sudipto Banerjee

The amount, size, and complexity of astronomical data-sets and databases are growing rapidly in the last decades, due to new technologies and dedicated survey telescopes. Besides dealing with poly-structured and complex data, sparse data…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-08 Kai Lars Polsterer , Antonio D'Isanto , Sebastian Lerch

Air pollutant exposure exhibits significant spatial and temporal variability, with localized hotspots, particularly in traffic microenvironments, posing health risks to commuters. Although widely used for air quality assessment, fixed-site…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-04 Hui Zhong , Hongliang Lu , Ting Gan , Yonghong Liu , Xinhu Zheng

The development of low-cost sensors and novel calibration algorithms offer new opportunities to supplement existing regulatory networks to measure air pollutants at a high spatial resolution and at hourly and sub-hourly timescales. We use a…

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We provide new results for nonparametric identification, estimation, and inference of causal effects using `proxy controls': observables that are noisy but informative proxies for unobserved confounding factors. Our analysis applies to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-22 Ben Deaner

Multivariate time series forecasting is widely applied in fields such as transportation, energy, and finance. However, the data commonly suffers from issues of multi-scale characteristics, weak correlations, and noise interference, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Xiang Ao

We propose a method for variable selection in the intensity function of spatial point processes that combines sparsity-promoting estimation with noise-robust model selection. As high-resolution spatial data becomes increasingly available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Dominik Sturm , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

High-throughput data analyses are becoming common in biology, communications, economics and sociology. The vast amounts of data are usually represented in the form of matrices and can be considered as knowledge networks. Spectra-based…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-06 Viet-Anh Nguyen , Zdena Koukolikova-Nicola , Franco Bagnoli , Pietro Lio

Reconstructions of past climates are based on the calibration of available proxy data. This calibration is usually achieved by means of linear regression models. In the recent paleo-climate literature there is an ongoing discussion on the…

Fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) is one of the criteria air pollutants regulated by the Environmental Protection Agency in the United States. There is strong evidence that ambient exposure to (PM$_{2.5}$) increases risk of mortality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 M. Benjamin Sabath , Qian Di , Danielle Braun , Joel Schwarz , Francesca Dominici , Christine Choirat

Unmeasured, spatially-structured factors can confound associations between spatial environmental exposures and health outcomes. Adding flexible splines to a regression model is a simple approach for spatial confounding adjustment, but the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-22 Joshua P. Keller , Adam A. Szpiro

Bayesian methods are increasingly being applied to parameterize mechanistic process models used in environmental prediction and forecasting. In particular, models describing ecosystem dynamics with multiple states that are linear and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , Robert Q. Thomas

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

Spatiotemporal data imputation plays a crucial role in various fields such as traffic flow monitoring, air quality assessment, and climate prediction. However, spatiotemporal data collected by sensors often suffer from temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Zijin Liu , Xiang Zhao , You Song

Experts classifying data are often imprecise. Recently, several models have been proposed to train classifiers using the noisy labels generated by these experts. How to choose between these models? In such situations, the true labels are…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-15 Rafael Izbicki , Rafael Bassi Stern

We propose a method for learning linear models whose predictive performance is robust to causal interventions on unobserved variables, when noisy proxies of those variables are available. Our approach takes the form of a regularization term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Michael Oberst , Nikolaj Thams , Jonas Peters , David Sontag

Prosody is an integral part of communication, but remains an open problem in state-of-the-art speech synthesis. There are two major issues faced when modelling prosody: (1) prosody varies at a slower rate compared with other content in the…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-15 Zack Hodari , Alexis Moinet , Sri Karlapati , Jaime Lorenzo-Trueba , Thomas Merritt , Arnaud Joly , Ammar Abbas , Penny Karanasou , Thomas Drugman