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The statistics of records in sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables is a classic subject of study. One of the earliest results concerns the stochastic independence of record events. Recently, records statistics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-26 Gregor Wergen , Jasper Franke , Joachim Krug

We study the statistics of records of a one-dimensional random walk of n steps, starting from the origin, and in presence of a constant bias c. At each time-step the walker makes a random jump of length \eta drawn from a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-08-29 Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr , Gregor Wergen

We review recent advances on the record statistics of strongly correlated time series, whose entries denote the positions of a random walk or a L\'evy flight on a line. After a brief survey of the theory of records for independent and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-21 Claude Godreche , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

In the context of this paper, a record is an entry in a sequence of random variables (RV's) that is larger or smaller than all previous entries. After a brief review of the classic theory of records, which is largely restricted to sequences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-03-20 Joachim Krug

The characterization of record events is considered for a discrete-time random walk model with long-term memory arising from correlations between successive steps. An important feature is that the correlations are strong enough to give rise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-02 Michael J. Kearney

For a zero-mean, unit-variance second-order stationary univariate Gaussian process we derive the probability that a record at the time $n$, say $X_n$, takes place and derive its distribution function. We study the joint distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-08 Michael Falk , Amir Khorrami , Simone A. Padoan

The study of records in the Linear Drift Model (LDM) has attracted much attention recently due to applications in several fields. In the present paper we study $\delta$-records in the LDM, defined as observations which are greater than all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

We consider the occurrence of record-breaking events in random walks with asymmetric jump distributions. The statistics of records in symmetric random walks was previously analyzed by Majumdar and Ziff and is well understood. Unlike the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-16 Gregor Wergen , Miro Bogner , Joachim Krug

Random permutations with distribution conditionally uniform given the set of record values can be generated in a unified way, coherently for all values of $n$. Our central example is a two-parameter family of random permutations that are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin

The statistics of records for a time series generated by a continuous time random walk is studied, and found to be independent of the details of the jump length distribution, as long as the latter is continuous and symmetric. However, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-13 Sanjib Sabhapandit

Records among a sequence of iid random variables $X_1,X_2,\dotsc$ on the real line have been investigated extensively over the past decades. A record is defined as a random variable $X_n$ such that $X_n>\max(X_1,\dotsc,X_{n-1})$. Trying to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-16 Clément Dombry , Michael Falk , Maximilian Zott

Record numbers are basic statistics in random walks, whose deviation principles are not very clear so far. In this paper, the asymptotic probabilities of large and moderate deviations for numbers of weak records in right continuous or left…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Yuqiang Li , Qiang Yao

In recent years there has been a surge of interest in the statistics of record-breaking events in stochastic processes. Along with that, many new and interesting applications of the theory of records were discovered and explored. The record…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Gregor Wergen

The deviation principles of record numbers in random walk models have not been completely investigated, especially for the non-nearest neighbor cases. In this paper, we derive the asymptotic probabilities of large and moderate deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Yuqiang Li , Qiang Yao

We consider a walker that at each step keeps the same direction with a probabilitythat depends on the time already spent in the direction the walker is currently moving. In this paper, we study some asymptotic properties of this persistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Arnaud Le Ny , Yoann Offret

It is shown that statistics of records for time series generated by random walks are independent of the details of the jump distribution, as long as the latter is continuous and symmetric. In N steps, the mean of the record distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-08-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Robert M. Ziff

A record is an entry in a time series that is larger or smaller than all previous entries. If the time series consists of independent, identically distributed random variables with a superimposed linear trend, record events are positively…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 J. Franke , G. Wergen , J. Krug

Daily precipitation time series are composed of null entries corresponding to dry days and nonzero entries that describe the rainfall amounts on wet days. Assuming that wet days follow a Bernoulli process with success probability $p$, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-24 Satya N. Majumdar , Philipp von Bomhard , Joachim Krug

We investigate how the statistics of extremes and records is affected when taking the moving average over a window of width $p$ of a sequence of independent, identically distributed random variables. An asymptotic analysis of the general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-19 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

The question whether a time series behaves as a random walk or as a station- ary process is an important and delicate problem, particularly arising in financial statistics, econometrics, and engineering. This paper studies the problem to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Ansgar Steland
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