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We consider the exact path sampling of the squared Bessel process and some other continuous-time Markov processes, such as the CIR model, constant elasticity of variance diffusion model, and hypergeometric diffusions, which can all be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-28 Roman N. Makarov , Devin Glew

In a computer experiment the choice of suitable estimators to measure a physical quantity plays an important role. We propose a new direct route to determine estimators for observables which do not commute with the Hamiltonian. Our new…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-11 Riccardo Fantoni

The behavior of a Lattice Monte Carlo algorithm (if it is designed correctly) must approach that of the continuum system that it is designed to simulate as the time step and the mesh step tend to zero. However, we show for an algorithm for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-08-23 Mykyta V. Chubynsky , Gary W. Slater

We assume that we observe $N$ independent copies of a diffusion process on a time-interval $[0,2T]$. For a given time $t$, we estimate the transition density $p_t(x,y)$, namely the conditional density of $X_{t + s}$ given $X_s = x$, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

Monte Carlo methods are used to approximate the means, $\mu$, of random variables $Y$, whose distributions are not known explicitly. The key idea is that the average of a random sample, $Y_1, ..., Y_n$, tends to $\mu$ as $n$ tends to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-16 Fred J. Hickernell , Lan Jiang , Yuewei Liu , Art Owen

High-dimensional probability density estimation for inference suffers from the "curse of dimensionality". For many physical inference problems, the full posterior distribution is unwieldy and seldom used in practice. Instead, we propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-13 Niall Jeffrey , Benjamin D. Wandelt

Employing a classical density-functional description of liquid environments, we introduce a rigorous method for the diffusion quantum Monte Carlo calculation of free energies and thermodynamic averages of solvated systems that requires…

We describe and analyze some Monte Carlo methods for manifolds in Euclidean space defined by equality and inequality constraints. First, we give an MCMC sampler for probability distributions defined by un-normalized densities on such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Emilio Zappa , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon , Jonathan Goodman

Quantum Monte Carlo methods are used to calculate various ground state properties of charged bosons in two dimensions, throughout the whole density range where the fluid phase is stable. Wigner crystallization is predicted at $r_s\simeq…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-05-01 S. De Palo , S. Conti , S. Moroni

Many approaches for conducting Bayesian inference on discretely observed diffusions involve imputing diffusion bridges between observations. This can be computationally challenging in settings in which the temporal horizon between…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-07 Marcin Mider , Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

Computer simulations of photon transport through an absorbing and/or scattering medium form an important research tool in astrophysics. Nearly all software codes performing such simulations for three-dimensional geometries employ the Monte…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-25 Peter Camps , Maarten Baes

The diffusion equation is the primary tool to study the movement dynamics of a free Brownian particle, but when spatial heterogeneities in the form of permeable interfaces are present, no fundamental equation has been derived. Here we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-14 Toby Kay , Luca Giuggioli

We propose an approach for estimating the probability that a given small target, among many, will be the first to be reached in a molecular dynamics simulation. Reaching small targets out of a vast number of possible configurations…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-19 Jackson Loper , Guangyao Zhou , Stuart Geman

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

New theorems for the moments of the first passage time of one dimensional nonlinear stochastic processes with an entrance boundary are formulated. This important class of one dimensional stochastic processes results among others from…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Leo Dostal , Navaratnam Sri Namachchivaya

We apply the recently developed adaptive ensemble optimization technique to simulate dense Lennard-Jones fluids and a particle-solvent model by broad-histogram Monte Carlo techniques. Equilibration of the simulated fluid is improved by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Simon Trebst , Emanuel Gull , Matthias Troyer

The basic problem in equilibrium statistical mechanics is to compute phase space average, in which Monte Carlo method plays a very important role. We begin with a review of nonlocal algorithms for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

In this article we consider static Bayesian parameter estimation for partially observed diffusions that are discretely observed. We work under the assumption that one must resort to discretizing the underlying diffusion process, for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-23 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody J. H. Law , Yan Zhou

We give explictly the probability density of the local time of the Brox diffusion at first passage times. Such formula is used to find the moments and to related the minima and maxima of the environment to the most and least visted points…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Jonathan Gutierrez-Pavón , Carlos G. Pacheco

We present an efficient Monte Carlo method to simulate reaction-diffusion processes with spatially varying particle annihilation or transformation rates as it occurs for instance in the context of motor-driven intracellular transport. Like…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-20 Karsten Schwarz , Heiko Rieger