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Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

We consider a bivariate diffusion process and we study the first passage time of one component through a boundary. We prove that its probability density is the unique solution of a new integral equation and we propose a numerical algorithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Elisa Benedetto , Laura Sacerdote , Cristina Zucca

We investigate some simple and surprising properties of a one-dimensional Brownian trajectory with diffusion coefficient $D$ that starts at the origin and reaches $X$ either: (i) at time $T$ or (ii) for the first time at time $T$. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-22 Uttam Bhat , S. Redner

Estimating the density of a continuous random variable X has been studied extensively in statistics, in the setting where n independent observations of X are given a priori and one wishes to estimate the density from that. Popular methods…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-09 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer

The statistics of the first-encounter time of diffusing particles changes drastically when they are placed under confinement. In the present work, we make use of Monte Carlo simulations to study the behavior of a two-particle system in two-…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-06 F. Le Vot , S. B. Yuste , E. Abad , D. S. Grebenkov

We develop a new Monte Carlo variance reduction method to estimate the expectation of two commonly encountered path-dependent functionals: first-passage times and occupation times of sets. The method is based on a recursive approximation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

Diffusions are a fundamental class of models in many fields, including finance, engineering, and biology. Simulating diffusions is challenging as their sample paths are infinite-dimensional and their transition functions are typically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-11 Paul A. Jenkins , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , Michael Sørensen

An alternative Monte Carlo estimator for the one-body density rho(r) is presented. This estimator has a simple form and can be readily used in any type of Monte Carlo simulation. Comparisons with the usual regularization of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-17 Roland Assaraf , Michel Caffarel , Anthony Scemama

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

Three-dimensional Monte Carlo simulations provide a striking confirmation to a recent theoretical prediction: the Brownian non-Gaussian diffusion of critical self-avoiding walks. Although the mean square displacement of the polymer center…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-21 Boris Marcone , Sankaran Nampoothiri , Enzo Orlandini , Flavio Seno , Fulvio Baldovin

The model consists of a signal process $X$ which is a general Brownian diffusion process and an observation process $Y$, also a diffusion process, which is supposed to be correlated to the signal process. We suppose that the process $Y$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Christophe Pofeta , Abass Sagna

A Monte Carlo method based on a density-of-states sampling is proposed for study of arbitrary statistical mechanical ensembles in a continuum. A random walk in the two-dimensional space of particle number and energy is used to estimate the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Qiliang Yan , Roland Faller , Juan J. de Pablo

The first-passage-time problem for a Brownian motion with alternating infinitesimal moments through a constant boundary is considered under the assumption that the time intervals between consecutive changes of these moments are described by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-28 A. Di Crescenzo , E. Di Nardo , L. M. Ricciardi

A class of algorithms in discrete space and continuous time for Brownian first passage time estimation is considered. A simple algorithm is derived that yields exact mean first passage times (MFPT) for linear potentials in one dimension,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-09-29 Artur B. Adib

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

The prediction of diffusion in solids is necessary to understand the microstructure evolution in materials out of equilibrium. Although one can reasonably predict diffusive transport coefficients using atomistic methods, these approaches…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-08-07 Jacob Jeffries , Emilio Mendoza Reyes , Fadi Abdeljawad , Murray Daw , Enrique Martinez

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Tuning of measurement models is challenging in real-world applications of sequential Monte Carlo methods. Recent advances in differentiable particle filters have led to various efforts to learn measurement models through neural networks.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

We propose sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for sampling the posterior distribution of state-space models under highly informative observation regimes, a situation in which standard SMC methods can perform poorly. A special case is…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-10 Pierre Del Moral , Lawrence M. Murray

A diffusion Monte Carlo algorithm is introduced that can determine the correct nodal structure of the wave function of a few-fermion system and its ground-state energy without an uncontrolled bias. This is achieved by confining signed…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-05 Alexander A. Kunitsa , So Hirata