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Hyperbolic models are known to produce networks with properties observed empirically in most network datasets, including heavy-tailed degree distribution, high clustering, and hierarchical structures. As a result, several embeddings…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-16 Simon Lizotte , Jean-Gabriel Young , Antoine Allard

We tackle the challenge of feature embedding for the purposes of improving the click-through rate prediction process. We select three models: logistic regression, factorization machines and deep factorization machines, as our baselines and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Samo Pahor , Davorin Kopič , Jure Demšar

We propose a Bayesian hidden Markov model for analyzing time series and sequential data where a special structure of the transition probability matrix is embedded to model explicit-duration semi-Markovian dynamics. Our formulation allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson , Mark Fiecas

We introduce Markov Random Geometric Graphs (MRGGs), a growth model for temporal dynamic networks. It is based on a Markovian latent space dynamic: consecutive latent points are sampled on the Euclidean Sphere using an unknown Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro

Phylogenetic models have polynomial parametrization maps. For symmetric group-based models, Matsen studied the polynomial inequalities that characterize the joint probabilities in the image of these parametrizations. We employ this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-18 Dimitra Kosta , Kaie Kubjas

We use machine learning to classify examples of braids (or flat braids) as trivial or non-trivial. Our ML takes form of supervised learning using neural networks (multilayer perceptrons). When they achieve good results in classification, we…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Alexei Lisitsa , Mateo Salles , Alexei Vernitski

Vassiliev (finite type) invariants of knots can be described in terms of weight systems. These are functions on chord diagrams satisfying so-called 4-term relations. In the study of the sl2 weight system, it was shown that its value on a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Sergey Lando , Vyacheslav Zhukov

We take on a Random Matrix theory viewpoint to study the spectrum of certain reversible Markov chains in random environment. As the number of states tends to infinity, we consider the global behavior of the spectrum, and the local behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafai

Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

We provide a criterion for establishing lower bounds on the rate of convergence in $f$-variation of a continuous-time ergodic Markov process to its invariant measure. The criterion consists of novel super- and submartingale conditions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

One reason why classical phylogenetic reconstruction methods fail to correctly infer the underlying topology is because they assume oversimplified models. In this paper we propose a topology reconstruction method consistent with the most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-28 Jesús Fernández-Sánchez , Marta Casanellas

Many biological and medical questions can be modeled using time-to-event data in finite-state Markov chains, with the phase-type distribution describing intervals between events. We solve the inverse problem: given a phase-type…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Ovidiu Radulescu , Dima Grigoriev , Matthias Seiss , Maria Douaihy , Mounia Lagha , Edouard Bertrand

For an indecomposable $3\times 3$ stochastic matrix (i.e., 1-step transition probability matrix) with coinciding negative eigenvalues, a new necessary and sufficient condition of the imbedding problem for time homogeneous Markov chains is…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Yong Chen , Jianmin Chen

Markov state models (MSMs) have been demonstrated to be a powerful method for computationally studying intramolecular processes such as protein folding and macromolecular conformational changes. In this article, we present a new approach to…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Matthew R. Perkett , Michael F. Hagan

In a real life process evolving over time, the relationship between its relevant variables may change. Therefore, it is advantageous to have different inference models for each state of the process. Asymmetric hidden Markov models fulfil…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Carlos Puerto-Santana , Pedro Larrañaga , Concha Bielza

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

We develop a latent variable model and an efficient spectral algorithm motivated by the recent emergence of very large data sets of chromatin marks from multiple human cell types. A natural model for chromatin data in one cell type is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-09 Chicheng Zhang , Jimin Song , Kevin C Chen , Kamalika Chaudhuri

A regularized vector autoregressive hidden semi-Markov model is developed to analyze multivariate financial time series with switching data generating regimes. Furthermore, an augmented EM algorithm is proposed for parameter estimation by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-19 Zekun Xu , Ye Liu