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We study Spatial Logistic Gaussian Process (SLGP) models for non-parametric estimation of probability density fields using scattered samples of heterogeneous sizes. SLGPs are examined from the perspective of random measures and their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger

Popular deterministic approximations of posterior distributions from, e.g. the Laplace method, variational Bayes and expectation-propagation, generally rely on symmetric approximating families, often taken to be Gaussian. This choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Francesco Pozza , Daniele Durante , Botond Szabo

Designing learning algorithms that are resistant to perturbations of the underlying data distribution is a problem of wide practical and theoretical importance. We present a general approach to this problem focusing on unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Andreas Maurer , Daniela A. Parletta , Andrea Paudice , Massimiliano Pontil

Sample- and computationally-efficient distribution estimation is a fundamental tenet in statistics and machine learning. We present SURF, an algorithm for approximating distributions by piecewise polynomials. SURF is: simple, replacing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-15 Yi Hao , Ayush Jain , Alon Orlitsky , Vaishakh Ravindrakumar

We prove almost sharp upper bounds for the $L^p$ norms of eigenfunctions of the full ring of invariant differential operators on a compact locally symmetric space, as well as their restrictions to maximal flat subspaces. Our proof combines…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Simon Marshall

In image segmentation, there is often more than one plausible solution for a given input. In medical imaging, for example, experts will often disagree about the exact location of object boundaries. Estimating this inherent uncertainty and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Miguel Monteiro , Loïc Le Folgoc , Daniel Coelho de Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Bernardo Marques , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Mark van der Wilk , Ben Glocker

Distribution shift severely degrades the performance of deep forecasting models. While this issue is well-studied for individual time series, it remains a significant challenge in the spatio-temporal domain. Effective solutions like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Zhaobo Hu , Vincent Gauthier , Mehdi Naima

This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-29 Conrado S. Miranda , Fernando J. Von Zuben

A Wright function based framework is proposed to combine and extend several distribution families. The $\alpha$-stable distribution is generalized by adding the degree of freedom parameter. The PDF of this two-sided super distribution…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-18 Stephen H. Lihn

Gaussian processes (GPs) are distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to regression and classification. In spite of their success, GPs have limited use in some applications, for example, in some cases a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Azzimonti , Dario Piga

Various optimal gradient-based algorithms have been developed for smooth nonconvex optimization. However, many nonconvex machine learning problems do not belong to the class of smooth functions and therefore the existing algorithms are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Ziyi Chen , Yi Zhou , Yingbin Liang , Zhaosong Lu

We consider Gaussian distributions on certain Riemannian symmetric spaces. In contrast to the Euclidean case, it is challenging to compute the normalization factors of such distributions, which we refer to as partition functions. In some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Simon Heuveline , Salem Said , Cyrus Mostajeran

The spherical-radial decomposition (SRD) is an efficient method for estimating probabilistic functions and their gradients defined over finite-dimensional elliptical distributions. In this work, we generalize the SRD to infinite stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Kewei Wang , Georg Stadler

Supervised deep-embedding methods project inputs of a domain to a representational space in which same-class instances lie near one another and different-class instances lie far apart. We propose a probabilistic method that treats…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-27 Tyler R. Scott , Karl Ridgeway , Michael C. Mozer

The contribution of this work is the introduction of a multivariate circular-linear (or poly- cylindrical) distribution obtained by combining the projected and the skew-normal. We show the flexibility of our proposal, its property of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Gianluca Mastrantonio

We present a computational framework for efficient learning, sampling, and distribution of general Bayesian posterior distributions. The framework leverages a machine learning approach for the construction of normalizing flows for the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-10-10 Yukari Yamauchi , Landon Buskirk , Pablo Giuliani , Kyle Godbey

In the distributed monitoring model, a data stream over a universe of size $n$ is distributed over $k$ servers, who must continuously provide certain statistics of the overall dataset, while minimizing communication with a central…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Honghao Lin , Zhao Song , David P. Woodruff , Shenghao Xie , Samson Zhou

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have demonstrated remarkable success across diverse tasks. However, their generalization capability is often hindered by spurious correlations between node features and labels in the graph. Our analysis reveals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yuxiang Zhang , Enyan Dai

Within the framework of probability models for overdispersed count data, we propose the generalized fractional Poisson distribution (gfPd), which is a natural generalization of the fractional Poisson distribution (fPd), and the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Dexter Cahoy , Elvira Di Nardo , Federico Polito

We provide new results for noise-tolerant and sample-efficient learning algorithms under $s$-concave distributions. The new class of $s$-concave distributions is a broad and natural generalization of log-concavity, and includes many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-30 Maria-Florina Balcan , Hongyang Zhang