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There exists a range of different models for estimating and simulating credit risk transitions to optimally manage credit risk portfolios and products. In this chapter we present a Coupled Markov Chain approach to model rating transitions…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Ronald Hochreiter , David Wozabal

The evolutionary process has been modelled in many ways using both stochastic and deterministic models. We develop an algebraic model of evolution in a population of asexually reproducing organisms in which we represent a stochastic walk in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-18 Daniel Nichol , Peter Jeavons , Robert Bonomo , Philip K. Maini , Jerome L. Paul , Robert A. Gatenby , Alexander R. A. Anderson , Jacob G. Scott

Phylogenetics uses alignments of molecular sequence data to learn about evolutionary trees relating species. Along branches, sequence evolution is modelled using a continuous-time Markov process characterised by an instantaneous rate…

We give a non-technical introduction to convergence-divergence models, a new modeling approach for phylogenetic data that allows for the usual divergence of species post speciation but also allows for species to converge, i.e. become more…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-15 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Jeremy G. Sumner , Barbara R. Holland

Inference of evolutionary trees and rates from biological sequences is commonly performed using continuous-time Markov models of character change. The Markov process evolves along an unknown tree while observations arise only from the tips…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-01 Elizabeth S. Allman , Cecile Ane , John A. Rhodes

We study the continuous-time evolution of the recombination equation of population genetics. This evolution is given by a differential equation that acts on a product probability space, and its solution can be described by a Markov chain on…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Ian Letter , Servet Martínez

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms play a key role in the Bayesian approach to phylogenetic inference. In this paper, we present the first theoretical work analyzing the rate of convergence of several Markov chains widely used in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Elchanan Mossel , Eric Vigoda

Mixed microbial communities, usually composed of various bacterial and fungal species, are fundamental in a plethora of environments, from soil to human gut and skin. Their evolution is a paradigmatic example of intertwined dynamics, where…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-01 Andrea Roli , Stuart A. Kauffman

Phylogenetic mixture models, in which the sites in sequences undergo different substitution processes along the same or different trees, allow the description of heterogeneous evolutionary processes. As data sets consisting of longer…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-17 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes , Seth Sullivant

Many organisms live in populations structured by space and by class, exhibit plastic responses to their social partners, and are subject to non-additive ecological and fitness effects. Social evolution theory has long recognized that all of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-24 Jeremy Van Cleve , Erol Akçay

Interacting proteins coevolve at multiple but interconnected scales, from the residue-residue over the protein-protein up to the family-family level. The recent accumulation of enormous amounts of sequence data allows for the development of…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-25 Hendrik Szurmant , Martin Weigt

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

In this paper I describe a cellular automaton model of a multi-species ecosystem, suitable for the study of emergent properties of macroevolution. Unlike majority of ecological models, the number of coexisting species is not fixed. Starting…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-09-23 Wojciech Borkowski

Residue-residue interactions that fold a protein into a unique three-dimensional structure and make it play a specific function impose structural and functional constraints on each residue site. Selective constraints on residue sites are…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-18 Sanzo Miyazawa

Co-evolution is a powerful problem-solving approach. However, fitness evaluation in co-evolutionary algorithms can be computationally expensive, as the quality of an individual in one population is defined by its interactions with many (or…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Jack Garbus , Thomas Willkens , Alexander Lalejini , Jordan Pollack

Empirical observations show that ecological communities can have a huge number of coexisting species, also with few or limited number of resources. These ecosystems are characterized by multiple type of interactions, in particular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-18 Chengyi Tu , Samir Suweis , Jacopo Grillib , Marco Formentin , Amos Maritan

Empirical observations show that ecological communities can have a huge number of coexisting species, also with few or limited number of resources. These ecosystems are characterized by multiple type of interactions, in particular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-21 Chengyi Tu , Samir Suweis , Jacopo Grilli , Marco Formentin , Amos Maritan

Molecular phenotypes are important links between genomic information and organismic functions, fitness, and evolution. Complex phenotypes, which are also called quantitative traits, often depend on multiple genomic loci. Their evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-12 Armita Nourmohammad , Stephan Schiffels , Michael Laessig

The evolution of molecular and phenotypic traits is commonly modelled using Markov processes along a phylogeny. This phylogeny can be a tree, or a network if it includes reticulations, representing events such as hybridization or admixture.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-28 Benjamin Teo , Paul Bastide , Cécile Ané

We study the interplay of population growth and evolutionary dynamics using a stochastic model based on birth and death events. In contrast to the common assumption of an independent population size, evolution can be strongly affected by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-05 Jonas Cremer , Anna Melbinger , Erwin Frey