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Standard results in stochastic convex optimization bound the number of samples that an algorithm needs to generate a point with small function value in expectation. More nuanced high probability guarantees are rare, and typically either…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Damek Davis , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao , Junyu Zhang

In simulation-based inferences for partially observed Markov process models (POMP), the by-product of the Monte Carlo filtering is an approximation of the log likelihood function. Recently, iterated filtering [14, 13] has originally been…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-26 Dao Nguyen

A common statistical task lies in showing asymptotic normality of certain statistics. In many of these situations, classical textbook results on weak convergence theory suffice for the problem at hand. However, there are quite some…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Viktor Bengs , Hajo Holzmann

In the standard stochastic block model for networks, the probability of a connection between two nodes, often referred to as the edge probability, depends on the unobserved communities each of these nodes belongs to. We consider a flexible…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Yuichi Kitamura , Louise Laage

We present a theoretical analysis of the average performance of OMP for sparse approximation. For signals that are generated from a dictionary with $K$ atoms and coherence $\mu$ and coefficients corresponding to a geometric sequence with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Karin Schnass

First, sufficient conditions are given for a triangular array of random vectors such that the sequence of related random step functions converges towards a (not necessarily time homogeneous) diffusion process. These conditions are weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-26 Márton Ispány , Gyula Pap

The problem addressed concerns the determination of the average number of successive attempts of guessing a word of a certain length consisting of letters with given probabilities of occurrence. Both first- and second-order approximations…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Kerstin Andersson

We say that two probabilities are similar at level $\alpha$ if they are contaminated versions (up to an $\alpha$ fraction) of the same common probability. We show how this model is related to minimal distances between sets of trimmed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-10 Pedro C. Álvarez-Esteban , Eustasio del Barrio , Juan A. Cuesta-Albertos , Carlos Matrán

An algorithm of searching a zero of an unknown undimensional function is considered, measured at a point x with some error. The step sizes are random positive values and are calculated according to the rule: if two consecutive iterations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Alexander Plakhov , Pedro Cruz

Motivated by the study of $Q$-learning algorithms in reinforcement learning, we study a class of stochastic approximation procedures based on operators that satisfy monotonicity and quasi-contractivity conditions with respect to an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Martin J. Wainwright

The support recovery problem consists of determining a sparse subset of a set of variables that is relevant in generating a set of observations, and arises in a diverse range of settings such as compressive sensing, and subset selection in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Jonathan Scarlett , Volkan Cevher

The purpose of this paper is to establish the almost sure weak ergodic convergence of a sequence of iterates $(x_n)$ given by $x_{n+1} = (I+\lambda_n A(\xi_{n+1},\,.\,))^{-1}(x_n)$ where $(A(s,\,.\,):s\in E)$ is a collection of maximal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Pascal Bianchi

This paper considers data-driven chance-constrained stochastic optimization problems in a Bayesian framework. Bayesian posteriors afford a principled mechanism to incorporate data and prior knowledge into stochastic optimization problems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

We establish sample complexity results for stochastic optimization over the integers, especially with a view to understand the complexity with respect to the corresponding continuous optimization problem. We show that integer optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Hongyu Cheng , Yinghao Zheng , Marco Molinaro , Amitabh Basu

Linear optimization problems are investigated whose parameters are uncertain. We apply coherent distortion risk measures to capture the possible violation of a restriction. Each risk constraint induces an uncertainty set of coefficients,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Karl Mosler , Pavel Bazovkin

We prove the existence of a solution to an equation governing the number density within a compact domain of a discrete particle system for a prescribed class of particle interactions taking into account the effects of the diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Clive G. Wells

Strict frequentism defines probability as the limiting relative frequency in an infinite sequence. What if the limit does not exist? We present a broader theory, which is applicable also to random phenomena that exhibit diverging relative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-07 Christian Fröhlich , Rabanus Derr , Robert C. Williamson

Incorporating constraints is a major concern in probabilistic machine learning. A wide variety of problems require predictions to be integrated with reasoning about constraints, from modelling routes on maps to approving loan predictions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Ioannis Papantonis , Vaishak Belle

We present a closed-form expression for the survival probability of a biased random walker to first reach a target site on a 1D lattice. The expression holds for any step number $N$ and is computationally faster than non-closed-form results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-02 Debendro Mookerjee , Sarah Kostinski

A composite likelihood is an inference function derived by multiplying a set of likelihood components. This approach provides a flexible framework for drawing inference when the likelihood function of a statistical model is computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Giuseppe Alfonzetti , Ruggero Bellio , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki