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We study a family of stationary increment Gaussian processes, indexed by time. These processes are determined by certain measures sigma (generalized spectral measures), and our focus here is on the case when the measure sigma is a singular…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-02 Daniel Alpay , Palle Jorgensen , David Levanony

We present a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors observe Poisson signals emitted from a single source of unknown position. The measurements at each sensor are modeled by independent inhomogeneous Poisson processes.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Christian Farinetto , Yury A. Kutoyants , Alioune Top

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Till Massing

The recent contribution Dieker & Mikosch (2015) [1] obtained important representations of max-stable stationary Brown-Resnick random fields $\zeta_Z$ with a spectral representation determined by a Gaussian process $Z$. With motivations from…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Enkelejd Hashorva

This paper presents an analysis of the Theil and Atkinson index estimators for gamma populations, highlighting the presence of bias in both cases. Theoretical expressions for the biases are obtained, and bias-corrected estimators are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo

We present a Bayesian approach to the problem of determining parameters for coalescing binary systems observed with laser interferometric detectors. By applying a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, specifically the Gibbs sampler, we…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 Nelson Christensen , Renate Meyer

Consider the standard stochastic reaction network model where the dynamics is given by a continuous-time Markov chain over a discrete lattice. For such models, estimation of parameter sensitivities is an important problem, but the existing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-01 Patrik Dürrenberger , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

In this paper, we are interested in linear prediction of a particular kind of stochastic process, namely a marked temporal point process. The observations are event times recorded on the real line, with marks attached to each event. We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-18 Maximilian Aigner , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

This paper is devoted to the estimation of a vector $\bm {\theta}$ parametrizing an energy function of a Gibbs point process, via the maximum pseudolikelihood method. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality results of this estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Jean-Michel Billiot , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rémy Drouilhet

Estimating function inference is indispensable for many common point process models where the joint intensities are tractable while the likelihood function is not. In this paper we establish asymptotic normality of estimating function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Frédéric Lavancier , Arnaud Poinas , Rasmus Waagepetersen

To support and guide an extensive experimental research into systems biology of signaling pathways, increasingly more mechanistic models are being developed with hopes of gaining further insight into biological processes. In order to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-05-28 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

We present a method for estimating the edge of a two-dimensional bounded set, given a finite random set of points drawn from the interior. The estimator is based both on projections on C^1 bases and on extreme points of the point process.…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Pierre Jacob

Established techniques for simulation and prediction with Gaussian process (GP) dynamics often implicitly make use of an independence assumption on successive function evaluations of the dynamics model. This can result in significant error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Lukas Hewing , Elena Arcari , Lukas P. Fröhlich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

The asymptotic distribution of the score test of the null hypothesis that marks do not impact the intensity of a Hawkes marked self-exciting point process is shown to be chi-squared. For local asymptotic power, the distribution against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Simon Clinet , William T. M. Dunsmuir , Gareth W. Peters , Kylie-Anne Richards

In this paper, we present a large-deviation theory developed for functionals of canonical Gibbs processes, i.e., Gibbs processes with respect to the binomial point process. We study the regime of a fixed intensity in a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Christian Hirsch , Martina Petráková

An analogue of the classical Mecke formula for Poisson point processes is proved for the class of space-time STIT tessellation processes. From this key identity the Markov property of a class of associated random processes is derived. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Werner Nagel , Linh Ngoc Nguyen , Christoph Thaele , Viola Weiss

Let $W_i,i\in{\mathbb{N}}$, be independent copies of a zero-mean Gaussian process $\{W(t),t\in{\mathbb{R}}^d\}$ with stationary increments and variance $\sigma^2(t)$. Independently of $W_i$, let $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}\delta_{U_i}$ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather , Laurens de Haan

Latent factor GARCH models are difficult to estimate using Bayesian methods because standard Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce slowly mixing and inefficient draws from the posterior distributions of the model parameters. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-07 Michael K. Pitt , Jamie Hall , Robert Kohn

The Gumbel trick is a method to sample from a discrete probability distribution, or to estimate its normalizing partition function. The method relies on repeatedly applying a random perturbation to the distribution in a particular way, each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-14 Matej Balog , Nilesh Tripuraneni , Zoubin Ghahramani , Adrian Weller
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