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We give a general framework for approximations to combinatorial assemblies, especially suitable to the situation where the number $k$ of components is specified, in addition to the overall size $n$. This involves a Poisson process, which,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Richard Arratia , Stephen DeSalvo

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

We consider additive functionals of systems of random measures whose initial configuration is given by a Poisson point process, and whose individual components evolve according to arbitrary Markovian or non-Markovian measure valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Arturo Jaramillo , Antonio Murillo-Salas

Consider a d-dimensional Brownian motion in a random potential defined by attaching a nonnegative and polynomially decaying potential around Poisson points. We introduce a repulsive interaction between the Brownian path and the Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-04 Ryoki Fukushima

We study the problem of estimating the covariance parameters of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with exponential covariance function under fixed-domain asymptotics. We show that the weighted pairwise maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-15 François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Daira Velandia

We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of parameters for models governed by a stochastic differential equation driven by a mixed fractional Brownian motion with random effects.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-03 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky

Composite likelihood usually ignores dependencies among response components, while variational approximation to likelihood ignores dependencies among parameter components. We derive a Gaussian variational approximation to the composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Libai Xu , Nancy Reid , Dehan Kong

An information-theoretic development is given for the problem of compound Poisson approximation, which parallels earlier treatments for Gaussian and Poisson approximation. Let $P_{S_n}$ be the distribution of a sum $S_n=\Sumn Y_i$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

We investigate approximation of a Bernoulli partial sum process to the accompanying Poisson process in the non-i.i.d. case. The rate of closeness is studied in terms of the minimal distance in probability.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Pavel S. Ruzankin , Igor S. Borisov

The Poisson process is one of the simplest stochastic processes defined in continuous time, having interesting mathematical properties, leading, in many situations, to applications mathematically treatable. One of the limitations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Thomas Freud , Pablo M. Rodriguez

In this paper, two parametric probability distributions capable to describe the statistics of X-ray photon detection by a CCD are presented. They are formulated from simple models that account for the pile-up phenomenon, in which two or…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-10-30 Diego J. R. Sevilla

As a first step toward a characterization of the limiting extremal process of branching Brownian motion, we proved in a recent work [Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 64 (2011) 1647-1676] that, in the limit of large time $t$, extremal particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

This paper introduces a new asymptotic regime for simplifying stochastic models having non-stationary effects, such as those that arise in the presence of time-of-day effects. This regime describes an operating environment within which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

This paper develops the first class of algorithms that enable unbiased estimation of steady-state expectations for multidimensional reflected Brownian motion. In order to explain our ideas, we first consider the case of compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the lead-lag parameter between two stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motions (fBMs) of the Hurst parameter greater than 1/2. First we propose a lead-lag model between two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Kohei Chiba

We present a process-level Poisson-approximation result for the degree-k vertices in a high-density weighted random connection model with preferential-attachment kernel in the unit volume. Our main focus lies on the impact of the left tails…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Christian Hirsch , Benedikt Jahnel , Sanjoy Kumar Jhawar , Peter Juhasz

The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang

Continuous Time Markov Chains, Hawkes processes and many other interesting processes can be described as solution of stochastic differential equations driven by Poisson measures. Previous works, using the Stein's method, give the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Eustache Besançon , Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond , Pascal Moyal