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Related papers: Estimator selection in the Gaussian setting

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Given a smooth function $f$, we develop a general approach to turn Monte Carlo samples with expectation $m$ into an unbiased estimate of $f(m)$. Specifically, we develop estimators that are based on randomly truncating the Taylor series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Nicolas Chopin , Francesca R. Crucinio , Sumeetpal S. Singh

We develop a generic data-driven method for estimator selection in off-policy policy evaluation settings. We establish a strong performance guarantee for the method, showing that it is competitive with the oracle estimator, up to a constant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Yi Su , Pavithra Srinath , Akshay Krishnamurthy

We study the problem of adaptive variable selection in a Gaussian white noise model of intensity $\varepsilon$ under certain sparsity and regularity conditions on an unknown regression function $f$. The $d$-variate regression function $f$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Natalia Stepanova , Marie Turcicova

We introduce an algorithm which, in the context of nonlinear regression on vector-valued explanatory variables, chooses those combinations of vector components that provide best prediction. The algorithm devotes particular attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-03 Frédéric Ferraty , Peter Hall

The partially observed linear Gaussian system of stochastic differential equations with low noise in observations is considered. A kernel-type estimators are used for estimation of the quadratic variation of the derivative of the limit of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Yury A. Kutoyants

We study least squares linear regression over $N$ uncorrelated Gaussian features that are selected in order of decreasing variance. When the number of selected features $p$ is at most the sample size $n$, the estimator under consideration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-04 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu

We consider the problem of chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function and satisfy constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The real world declinations of this problem are particularly…

The computation of Gaussian orthant probabilities has been extensively studied for low-dimensional vectors. Here, we focus on the high-dimensional case and we present a two-step procedure relying on both deterministic and stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-03 Dario Azzimonti , David Ginsbourger

In this work, we employ the Bayesian inference framework to solve the problem of estimating the solution and particularly, its derivatives, which satisfy a known differential equation, from the given noisy and scarce observations of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-09 Hongqiao Wang , Xiang Zhou

Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

We consider the problem of predicting the covariance of a zero mean Gaussian vector, based on another feature vector. We describe a covariance predictor that has the form of a generalized linear model, i.e., an affine function of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-01 Shane Barratt , Stephen Boyd

This paper studies hypothesis testing and parameter estimation in the context of the divide and conquer algorithm. In a unified likelihood based framework, we propose new test statistics and point estimators obtained by aggregating various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Heather Battey , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Junwei Lu , Ziwei Zhu

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are a stream of independent, identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\mu$. This work presents a new estimate $\mu_k$ for $\mu$ with the property that the distribution of the relative error…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-01 Mark Huber

We provide a theoretical foundation for non-parametric estimation of functions of random variables using kernel mean embeddings. We show that for any continuous function $f$, consistent estimators of the mean embedding of a random variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Carl-Johann Simon-Gabriel , Adam Ścibior , Ilya Tolstikhin , Bernhard Schölkopf

Variational autoencoders often assume isotropic Gaussian priors and mean-field posteriors, hence do not exploit structure in scenarios where we may expect similarity or consistency across latent variables. Gaussian process variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-17 Metod Jazbec , Michael Pearce , Vincent Fortuin

We study a distributed estimation problem in which two remotely located parties, Alice and Bob, observe an unlimited number of i.i.d. samples corresponding to two different parts of a random vector. Alice can send $k$ bits on average to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Uri Hadar , Ofer Shayevitz

We discuss the application of random projections to the fundamental problem of deciding whether a given point in a Euclidean space belongs to a given set. We show that, under a number of different assumptions, the feasibility and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Ky Vu , Pierre-Louis Poirion , Leo Liberti

We compute bias, variance, and approximate confidence intervals for the efficiency of a random selection process under various special conditions that occur in practical data analysis. We consider the following cases: a) the number of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling

Gaussian processes are machine learning models capable of learning unknown functions in a way that represents uncertainty, thereby facilitating construction of optimal decision-making systems. Motivated by a desire to deploy Gaussian…

We consider the problem of recovering an unknown vector from noisy data with the help of projection estimates. The goal is to find a convex combination of these estimates with the minimal risk. We study an aggregation method based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-20 Yu. Golubev