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Abrupt transitions are a central concern in climate and ecological research, and may arise when critical thresholds known as tipping points are crossed. However, previous work has shown that finite-time overshoots of tipping points can be…

This paper aims to provide a simple modelling of speculative bubbles and derive some quantitative properties of its dynamical evolution. Starting from a description of individual speculative behaviours, we build and study a second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Sébastien Gadat , Laurent Miclo , Fabien Panloup

We examine two analytical characterisation of the metastable behavior of a Markov chain. The first one expressed in terms of its transition probabilities, and the second one in terms of its large deviations rate functional. Consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-07 L. Bertini , D. Gabrielli , C. Landim

How is it that entropy derivatives almost in their own are characterizing the state of a system close to equilibrium, and what happens further away from it? We explain within the framework of Markov jump processes why fluctuation theory can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-24 Christian Maes , Karel Netočný , Bram Wynants

Motivated by its connection to the limit behaviour of imprecise Markov chains, we introduce and study the so-called convergence of upper transition operators: the condition that for any function, the orbit resulting from iterated…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Jasper De Bock , Alexander Erreygers , Floris Persiau

We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for explosion and implosion of birth-and-death (non-Markov) continuous-time random walks. In other words, we obtain conditions for $\infty$ to be accessible and for it to be an entrance point.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Andrey Pilipenko , Vadym Tkachenko

We study the two-dimensional joint distribution of the first hitting time of a constant level by a continuous-state branching process with immigration and their primitive stopped at this time. We show an explicit expression of its Laplace…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-25 Xan Duhalde , Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma

We consider Markov processes, which describe e.g. queueing network processes, in a random environment which influences the network by determining random breakdown of nodes, and the necessity of repair thereafter. Starting from an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-03 H. Daduna , R. Szekli

Consider a system $X = ((x_\xi(t)), \xi \in \Omega_N)_{t \geq 0}$ of interacting Fleming-Viot diffusions with mutation and selection which is a strong Markov process with continuous paths and state space $(\CP(\I))^{\Omega_N}$, where $\I$…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Donald A. Dawson , Andreas Greven

This note is a companion article to the recent paper L\"ocherbach, Loukianova, Marini (2024). We consider mean field systems of interacting particles. Each particle jumps with a jump rate depending on its position. When jumping, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Dasha Loukianova , Eva Löcherbach

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

We show that the empirical process associated with a system of weakly interacting diffusion processes exhibits a form of noise-induced metastability. The result is based on an analysis of the associated McKean--Vlasov free energy, which,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Rishabh S. Gvalani , André Schlichting

Many integrable stochastic particle systems in one space dimension (such as TASEP - totally asymmetric simple exclusion process - and its various deformations, with a notable exception of ASEP) remain integrable when we equip each particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Leonid Petrov

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models frequently used in, but not limited to, biochemistry. These models are continuous-time Markov chains whose transition rates depend on certain parameters called rate constants, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Daniele Cappelletti , Aidan Howells , Chuang Xu

We consider exchangeable Markov multi-state survival processes -- temporal processes taking values over a state-space$\mathcal{S}$ with at least one absorbing failure state $\flat \in \mathcal{S}$ that satisfy natural invariance properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-26 Walter Dempsey

We introduce the notion of {\bf a}-walk $S(n)=a_1 X_1+\dots+a_n X_n$, based on a sequence of positive numbers ${\bf a}=(a_1,a_2,\dots)$ and a Rademacher sequence $X_1,X_2,\dots$. We study recurrence/transience (properly defined) of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Satyaki Bhattacharya , Stanislav Volkov

We propose a definition o meta-stability and obtain sufficient conditions for a sequence of Markov processes on finite state spaces to be meta-stable. In the reversible case, these conditions reduce to estimates of the capacity and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-18 J. Beltran , C. Landim

In this paper, we give a necessary and sufficient condition for mean stability of switched linear systems having a Markov regenerative process as its switching signal. This class of switched linear systems, which we call Markov regenerative…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

We consider a two station cascade system in which waiting or externally arriving customers at station $1$ move to the station $2$ if the queue size of station $1$ including a customer being served is greater than a given threshold level…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Masakiyo Miyazawa , Evsey Morozov

Let $\phi:X\to \mathbb R$ be a continuous potential associated with a symbolic dynamical system $T:X\to X$ over a finite alphabet. Introducing a parameter $\beta>0$ (interpreted as the inverse temperature) we study the regularity of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Tamara Kucherenko , Anthony Quas , Christian Wolf
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