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We obtain first decay rates of probabilities of tails of multivariate polynomials built on independent random variables with heavy tails. Then we derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of the form $\sum_{Nt\geq n\geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

We present explicit estimates of right and left tails and exact (up to universal, multiplicative constants) estimates of tails and moments of hitting times of Bessel processes. The latter estimates are obtained from more general estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 W. M. Bednorz , R. M. Łochowski

We present order of magnitude estimates for the quantiles of non-negative linear combinations of non-negative random variables, as well as deviation inequalities for general linear combinations of independent random variables, under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Daniel J. Fresen

We discuss two-sided bounds for moments and tails of quadratic forms in Gaussian random variables with values in Banach spaces. We state a natural conjecture and show that it holds up to additional logarithmic factors. Moreover in a certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Radosław Adamczak , Rafał Latała , Rafał Meller

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

In this paper, we obtain a $p$-th moment bound for the suprema of a log-concave-tailed nonhomogeneous chaos process, which is optimal in some special cases. A crucial ingredient of the proof is a novel decoupling inequality, which may be of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Guozheng Dai , Zhonggen Su , Vladimir Ulyanov , Hanchao Wang

We prove logarithmic Sobolev inequalities and concentration results for convex functions and a class of product random vectors. The results are used to derive tail and moment inequalities for chaos variables (in spirit of Talagrand and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Radoslaw Adamczak

It is shown that the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a univariate log-concave probability density satisfies desirable consistency properties in the tail regions. Specifically, let $P$ and $f$ denote the true underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Didier B. Ryter , Lutz Duembgen

We derive the sharp non-asymptotical uniform estimations for tails of distributions for classical normed sums of centered normed independent random vectors having a moderate decreasing individual tails of summands.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-08 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential estimates are derived for the tail distribution of polynomial martingale differences in terms unconditional tails distributions of summands. Applications are considered in the theory of polynomials…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky

We derive exponential bounds for tail of distribution for natural, i.e. under ordinary logarithm, normalized sums of arrays of random variables, not necessarily independent.

In this note a two sided bound on the tail probability of sums of independent, and either symmetric or nonnegative, random variables is obtained. We utilize a recent result by Lata{\l}a on bounds on moments of such sums. We also give a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paweł Hitczenko , Stephen Montgomery-Smith

We establish new tail estimates for order statistics and for the Euclidean norms of projections of an isotropic log-concave random vector. More generally, we prove tail estimates for the norms of projections of sums of independent…

A perturbative approach is used to derive approximations of arbitrary order to estimate high percentiles of sums of positive independent random variables that exhibit heavy tails. Closed-form expressions for the successive approximations…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-20 Lorenzo Hernández , Jorge Tejero , Alberto Suárez , Santiago Carrillo-Menéndez

We derive in this preprint the moment and exponential tail estimates, sufficient conditions for the Non-Central Limit Theorem (NCLT) in the ordinary one-dimensional space as well as in the space of continuous functions for the properly…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential and moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time martingale and martingale transform by means of martingale differences in the terms of moments and tails of distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-22 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We examine random variables in the power law/regularly varying class with stochastic tail exponent, the exponent $\alpha$ having its own distribution. We show the effect of stochasticity of $\alpha$ on the expectation and higher moments of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-06 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

We prove that the tail probabilities of sums of independent uniform random variables, up to a multiplicative constant, are dominated by the Gaussian tail with matching variance and find the sharp constant for such stochastic domination.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Xinjie He , Tomasz Tkocz , Katarzyna Wyczesany

In the world of multivariate extremes, estimation of the dependence structure still presents a challenge and an interesting problem. A procedure for the bivariate case is presented that opens the road to a similar way of handling the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers