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Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. In stochastic descriptions of evolutionary dynamics, such as the Moran process, individuals are chosen randomly for birth and for death. If the same type is chosen for both steps,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Michal Pecho , Josef Tkadlec , Martin A. Nowak

Several groups have recently modeled evolutionary transitions from an ancestral allele to a beneficial allele separated by one or more intervening mutants. The beneficial allele can become fixed if a succession of intermediate mutants are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-14 Stephen R Proulx

Evolutionary dynamics on graphs can lead to many interesting and counterintuitive findings. We study the Moran process, a discrete time birth-death process, that describes the invasion of a mutant type into a population of wild-type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-23 Laura Hindersin , Arne Traulsen

We study stochastic evolutionary game dynamics in a population of finite size. Individuals in the population are divided into two dynamically evolving groups. The structure of the population is formally described by a Wright-Fisher type…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Timothy Chumley , Ozgur Aydogmus , Anastasios Matzavinos , Alexander Roitershtein

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We study the stochastic dynamics of evolutionary games, and focus on the so-called `stochastic slowdown' effect, previously observed in (Altrock et. al, 2010) for simple evolutionary dynamics. Slowdown here refers to the fact that a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-30 Philipp M. Altrock , Arne Traulsen , Tobias Galla

The spread of an advantageous mutation through a population is of fundamental interest in population genetics. While the classical Moran model is formulated for a well-mixed population, it has long been recognized that in real-world…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-27 Jasmine Foo , Einar Bjarki Gunnarsson , Kevin Leder , David Sivakoff

In this paper we propose a Moran model that describes the population dynamics of two types: While the first type has a selective advantage during reproduction, the second type can avoid replacement during reproduction with some positive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-02 Jochen Blath , Baptiste Le Duigou , András Tóbiás

In evolutionary games the fitness of individuals is not constant but depends on the relative abundance of the various strategies in the population. Here we study general games among n strategies in populations of large but finite size. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-05-16 Tibor Antal , Arne Traulsen , Hisashi Ohtsuki , Corina E. Tarnita , Martin A. Nowak

Tumors initiate when a population of proliferating cells accumulates a certain number and type of genetic and/or epigenetic alterations. The population dynamics of such sequential acquisition of (epi)genetic alterations has been the topic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-09 Peter Ashcroft , Franziska Michor , Tobias Galla

We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-19 E. Baake , R. Bialowons

We consider a stochastic model of population dynamics where each individual is characterised by a trait in {0,1,...,L} and has a natural reproduction rate, a logistic death rate due to age or competition and a probability of mutation…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Anton Bovier , Loren Coquille , Charline Smadi

Different evolutionary models are known to make disparate predictions for the success of an invading mutant in some situations. For example, some evolutionary mechanics lead to amplification of selection in structured populations, while…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Francisco Herrerías-Azcué , Vicente Pérez-Muñuzuri , Tobias Galla

In many biological processes, the size of a population changes stochastically with time, and recent work in the context of cancer and bacterial growth have focused on the situation when the mean population size grows exponentially. Here,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-27 Kavita Jain , Hitesh Sumuni

Moran Birth-death process is a standard stochastic process that is used to model natural selection in spatially structured populations. A newly occurring mutation that invades a population of residents can either fixate on the whole…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-15 Lenka Kopfová , Josef Tkadlec

We consider the Moran process with two populations competing under an iterated Prisoners' Dilemma in the presence of mutation, and concentrate on the case where there are multiple Evolutionarily Stable Strategies. We perform a complete…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Lee DeVille , Meghan Galiardi

Temporal environmental variations are ubiquitous in nature, yet most of the theoretical works in population genetics and evolution assume fixed environment. Here we analyze the effect of variations in carrying capacity on the fate of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-16 Immanuel Meyer , Nadav M. Shnerb

We consider a population of N individuals, whose dynamics through time is represented by a biparental Moran model with two types: an advantaged type and a disadvantaged type. The advantage is due to a mutation, transmitted in a Mendelian…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Camille Coron , Yves Le Jan

The fixation probability of a single mutant invading a population of residents is among the most widely-studied quantities in evolutionary dynamics. Amplifiers of natural selection are population structures that increase the fixation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Josef Tkadlec , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

Many mathematical models of evolution assume that all individuals experience the same environment. Here, we study the Moran process in heterogeneous environments. The population is of finite size with two competing types, which are exposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-19 Kamran Kaveh , Alex McAvoy , Martin A. Nowak
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