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The vast majority of statistical theory on binary classification characterizes performance in terms of accuracy. However, accuracy is known in many cases to poorly reflect the practical consequences of classification error, most famously in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Shashank Singh , Justin Khim

A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

We provide an efficient algorithm to generate random samples from the bounded kth order statistic in a sample of independent, but not necessarily identically distributed, random variables. The bounds can be upper or lower bounds and need…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-13 Tyler Morrison , Sean Pinkney

Predictions are often probabilities; e.g., a prediction could be for precipitation tomorrow, but with only a 30% chance. Given such probabilistic predictions together with the actual outcomes, "reliability diagrams" help detect and diagnose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Imanol Arrieta-Ibarra , Paman Gujral , Jonathan Tannen , Mark Tygert , Cherie Xu

Sampling random graphs with given properties is a key step in the analysis of networks, as random ensembles represent basic null models required to identify patterns such as communities and motifs. An important requirement is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-23 Tiziano Squartini , Rossana Mastrandrea , Diego Garlaschelli

We consider discrete, iterative load balancing via matchings on arbitrary graphs. Initially each node holds a certain number of tokens, defining the load of the node, and the objective is to redistribute the tokens such that eventually each…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Petra Berenbrink , Robert Elsässer , Tom Friedetzky , Hamed Hosseinpour , Dominik Kaaser , Peter Kling , Thomas Sauerwald

Making predictions in an unseen environment given data from multiple training environments is a challenging task. We approach this problem from an invariance perspective, focusing on binary classification to shed light on general nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Austin Goddard , Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Topology design is a critical task for the reliability, economic operation, and resilience of distribution systems. This paper proposes a distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model for designing the topology of a new distribution…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Sadra Babaei , Ruiwei Jiang , Chaoyue Zhao

This paper provides a systematic yet accessible presentation of the Contextuality-by-Default theory. The consideration is confined to finite systems of categorical random variables, which allows us to focus on the basics of the theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

This paper provides a statistical method to test whether a system that performs a binary sequential hypothesis test is optimal in the sense of minimizing the average decision times while taking decisions with given reliabilities. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Meik Dörpinghaus , Izaak Neri , Édgar Roldán , Heinrich Meyr , Frank Jülicher

Probabilistic generative models of graphs are important tools that enable representation and sampling. Many recent works have created probabilistic models of graphs that are capable of representing not only entity interactions but also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Pablo Robles-Granda , Katherine Tsai , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

We address the problem of detecting deviations of binary sequence from randomness,which is very important for random number (RNG) and pseudorandom number generators (PRNG). Namely, we consider a null hypothesis $H_0$ that a given bit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 B. Ya. Ryabko , V. A. Monarev

Distribution matching is the process of invertibly mapping a uniformly distributed input sequence onto sequences that approximate the output of a desired discrete memoryless source. The special case of a binary output alphabet and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Patrick Schulte , Bernhard C. Geiger

In matrix-valued datasets the sampled matrices often exhibit correlations among both their rows and their columns. A useful and parsimonious model of such dependence is the matrix normal model, in which the covariances among the elements of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-18 Mathias Drton , Satoshi Kuriki , Peter Hoff

In this paper, we study contention resolution schemes for matchings. Given a fractional matching $x$ and a random set $R(x)$ where each edge $e$ appears independently with probability $x_e$, we want to select a matching $M \subseteq R(x)$…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Pranav Nuti , Jan Vondrák

We present a comprehensive study of graphical log-linear models for contingency tables. High dimensional contingency tables arise in many areas such as computational biology, collection of survey and census data and others. Analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-15 Niharika Gauraha

Exact tests greatly improve the analysis of contingency tables when marginals are low. For instance, researchers often use Fisher's exact test, which is conditional, or Barnard's test, which is unconditional but needs to deal with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-28 Miguel Araujo-Voces , Víctor Quesada

An online backup system should be quick and reliable in both saving and restoring users' data. To do so in a peer-to-peer implementation, data transfer scheduling and the amount of redundancy must be chosen wisely. We formalize the problem…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-09-17 Laszlo Toka , Matteo Dell'Amico , Pietro Michiardi

We discuss a notion of convergence for binary trees that is based on subtree sizes. In analogy to recent developments in the theory of graphs, posets and permutations we investigate some general aspects of the topology, such as a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Rudolf Grübel

We model the joint distribution of choice probabilities and decision times in binary choice tasks as the solution to a problem of optimal sequential sampling, where the agent is uncertain of the utility of each action and pays a constant…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Drew Fudenberg , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki