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The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

This paper develops the first class of algorithms that enable unbiased estimation of steady-state expectations for multidimensional reflected Brownian motion. In order to explain our ideas, we first consider the case of compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen

We study integral representations of random variables with respect to general H\"older continuous processes and with respect to two particular cases; fractional Brownian motion and mixed fractional Brownian motion. We prove that arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-01 Georgiy Shevchenko , Lauri Viitasaari

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with long-range correlations in time; it has been shown to be a useful model of anomalous diffusion. Here, we investigate the effects of mutual interactions in an ensemble of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-15 Jonathan House , Rashad Bakhshizada , Skirmantas Janušonis , Ralf Metzler , Thomas Vojta

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

For a stochastic process reset at random times, we discuss to what extent the probabilities of some orderings of observables associated with the intervals of time between resetting events are universal, i.e., independent of the choice of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-28 Claude Godrèche

We study the optimal control of discrete time mean filed dynamical systems under partial observations. We express the global law of the filtered process as a controlled system with its own dynamics. Following a dynamic programming approach,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Jeremy Chichportich , Idris Kharroubi

We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Lisa Borland

We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

Here we review and extend central limit theorems for highly chaotic but deterministic semi-dynamical discrete time systems. We then apply these results show how Brownian motion-like results are recovered, and how an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-04-15 Michael C. Mackey , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The orientational memory of particles can serve as an effective measure of diffusivity, spreading, and search efficiency in complex stochastic processes. We develop a theoretical framework to describe the decay of directional correlations…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-09-05 Zeinab Sadjadi , M. Reza Shaebani

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

First passage time plays a fundamental role in dynamical characterization of stochastic processes. Crucially, our current understanding on the problem is almost entirely relies on the theoretical formulations, which assume the processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-01 Yuta Sakamoto , Takahiro Sakaue

Stochastic homogenization is achieved for a class of elliptic and parabolic equations describing the lifetime, in large domains, of stationary diffusion processes in random environment which are small, statistically isotropic perturbations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Benjamin J. Fehrman

We consider processes which have the distribution of standard Brownian motion (in the forward direction of time) starting from random points on the trajectory which accumulate at $-\infty$. We show that these processes do not have to have…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-01 Krzysztof Burdzy , Michael Scheutzow

Geometric Brownian motion is an exemplary stochastic processes obeying multiplicative noise, with widespread applications in several fields, e.g. in finance, in physics and biology. The definition of the process depends crucially on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-16 Stefano Giordano , Fabrizio Cleri , Ralf Blossey

We present a systematic study of the statistics of the occupation time and related random variables for stochastic processes with independent intervals of time. According to the nature of the distribution of time intervals, the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

We study the numerical evaluation of several functions appearing in the small time expansion of the distribution of the time-integral of the geometric Brownian motion as well as its joint distribution with the terminal value of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Peter Nandori , Dan Pirjol
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