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An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

We prove a new result in the area of hitting time statistics. Currently, there is a lot of papers showing that the first entry times into cylinders or balls are often faster than the Birkhoff's Ergodic Theorem would suggest. We provide an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Łukasz Pawelec , Mariusz Urbański

Spatial birth-and-death processes with time dependent rates are obtained as solutions to certain stochastic equations. The existence, uniqueness, uniqueness in law and the strong Markov property of unique solutions are proven when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio

Variational formulas for the Laplace transform of the exit time from an open set of a Hunt process generated by a regular lower bounded semi-Dirichlet form are established. While for symmetric Markov processes, variational formulas are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Kyung-Youn Kim , Yong-Hua Mao , Tao Wang

We consider a Lindley process with Laplace distributed space increments. We obtain closed form recursive expressions for the density function of the position of the process and for its first exit time distribution from the domain $[0,h]$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Emanuele Lucrezia , Laura Sacerdote , Cristina Zucca

We consider a continuous time Markov process on $\mathbb{N}_0$ which can be interpreted as generalized alternating birth-death process in a non-autonomous random environment. Depending on the status of the environment the process either…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Hans Daduna

We study the problem of a run and tumble particle in a harmonic trap, with a finite run and tumble time, by a direct integration of the equation of motion. An exact 1D steady state distribution, diagram laws and a programmable Volterra…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-17 Aoran Sun , Fangfu Ye , Rudolf Podgornik

Using the results of Ding, Lee, Peres [3], we develop formulas to compute the hitting times and cover times for random walks on groups. We developed an explicit formula for hitting times in terms of the irreducible representations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Christopher Zhang

We develop a likelihood-based inference for finite-state birth-death processes with composite birth rates, in which multiple distinct mechanisms contribute additively to the total birth intensity. Our main motivating example is an SIS…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Marko Lalovic , Nicos Georgiou , Istvan Z. Kiss

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

We prove two martingale identities which involve exit times of Levy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes. Using these identities we find an explicit formula for the Laplace transform of the exit time under the assumption that positive jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-13 K. Borovkov , A. Novikov

This paper is not (or at least not only) about human infant mortality. In line with reliability theory, "infant" will refer here to the time interval following birth during which the mortality (or failure) rate decreases. This definition…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-15 Sylvie Berrut , Violette Pouillard , Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

In this paper, we study a birth and death process $\{N_t\}_{t\ge0}$ on positive half lattice, which at each discontinuity jumps at most a distance $R\ge 1$ to the right or exactly a distance $1$ to the left. The transitional probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Hua-Ming Wang

We propose threshold diffusion processes as unique solutions to stochastic differential equations with step-function coefficients, and obtain explicit expressions for the conditional Laplace transform of the hitting times and the potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Lina Ji , Chuyang Li , Xiaowen Zhou

We define the hitting (or absorbing) time for the case of continuous quantum walks by measuring the walk at random times, according to a Poisson process with measurement rate $\lambda$. From this definition we derive an explicit formula for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Martin Varbanov , Hari Krovi , Todd A. Brun

This paper is a continuation of the study on the stability speed for Markov processes. It extends the previous study of the ergodic convergence speed to the non-ergodic one, in which the processes are even allowed to be explosive or having…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-01 Mu-Fa Chen

The paper studies the counting process arising as a subset of births and deaths in a birth--death process on a finite state space. Whenever a birth or death occurs, the process is incremented or not depending on the outcome of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Daryl. J. Daley , Yoni Nazarathy , Jiesen Wang

A multiplicative identity in law connecting the hitting times of completely asymmetric $\alpha-$stable L\'evy processes in duality is established. In the spectrally positive case, this identity allows with an elementary argument to compute…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-09 Thomas Simon

The main substance of the paper concerns the growth rate and the classification (ergodicity, transience) of a family of random trees. In the basic model, new edges appear according to a Poisson process of parameter $\lambda$ and leaves can…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Guy Fayolle , Maxim Krikun , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes

We study random walk with unbounded jumps in random environment. The environment is stationary and ergodic, uniformly elliptic and decays polynomially with speed $Dj^{-(3+\varepsilon_0)}$ for some small $\varepsilon_0>0$ and proper $D>0.$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Hua-Ming Wang