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Many methods of estimating causal models do not provide estimates of confidence in the resulting model. In this work, a metric is proposed for validating the output of a causal model fit; the robustness of the model structure with resampled…

We apply a compositional formal modeling and verification method to an autonomous aircraft taxi system. We provide insights into the modeling approach and we identify several research areas where further development is needed. Specifically,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-27 Alessandro Pinto , Anthony Corso , Edward Schmerling

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

Conversational modeling is an important task in natural language understanding and machine intelligence. Although previous approaches exist, they are often restricted to specific domains (e.g., booking an airline ticket) and require…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-07-23 Oriol Vinyals , Quoc Le

Consideration set formation using non-compensatory screening rules is a vital component of real purchasing decisions with decades of experimental validation. Marketers have recently developed statistical methods that can estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-19 Minhua Long , W. Ross Morrow

This research presents a method that utilizes explainability techniques to amplify the performance of machine learning (ML) models in forecasting the quality of milling processes, as demonstrated in this paper through a manufacturing use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Dennis Gross , Helge Spieker , Arnaud Gotlieb , Ricardo Knoblauch

In using multiple regression methods for prediction, one often considers the linear combination of explanatory variables as an index. Seeking a single such index when here are multiple responses is rather more complicated. One classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Stephen Portnoy , Joseph Haimberg

While model checking has often been considered as a practical alternative to building formal proofs, we argue here that the theory of sequent calculus proofs can be used to provide an appealing foundation for model checking. Since the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Quentin Heath , Dale Miller

Interventional causal models describe several joint distributions over some variables used to describe a system, one for each intervention setting. They provide a formal recipe for how to move between the different joint distributions and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-06 Eigil F. Rischel , Sebastian Weichwald

Approximate model counting is the task of approximating the number of solutions to an input Boolean formula. The state-of-the-art approximate model counter for formulas in conjunctive normal form (CNF), ApproxMC, provides a scalable means…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Yong Kiam Tan , Jiong Yang , Mate Soos , Magnus O. Myreen , Kuldeep S. Meel

We focus in this paper on generating models of quantified first-order formulas over built-in theories, which is paramount in software verification and bug finding. While standard methods are either geared toward proving the absence of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-02-16 Benjamin Farinier , Sébastien Bardin , Richard Bonichon , Marie-Laure Potet

We study counting propositional logic as an extension of propositional logic with counting quantifiers. We prove that the complexity of the underlying decision problem perfectly matches the appropriate level of Wagner's counting hierarchy,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Melissa Antonelli , Ugo Dal Lago , Paolo Pistone

The modal factor model represents a new factor model for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data. Unlike the approximate factor model that targets for the mean factors, it captures factors that influence the conditional mode of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Zhe Sun , Yundong Tu

This paper proposes a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer chooses at most one product in a category, but selects from multiple categories in parallel. The consumer's utility is additive in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Rob Donnelly , Francisco R. Ruiz , David Blei , Susan Athey

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Calibration strengthens the trustworthiness of black-box models by producing better accurate confidence estimates on given examples. However, little is known about if model explanations can help confidence calibration. Intuitively, humans…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Dongfang Li , Baotian Hu , Qingcai Chen

Configuration tuning for large software systems is generally challenging due to the complex configuration space and expensive performance evaluation. Most existing approaches follow a two-phase process, first learning a regression-based…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Rong Cao , Liang Bao , Chase Wu , Panpan Zhangsun , Yufei Li , Zhe Zhang

The increasing use of machine learning in practice and legal regulations like EU's GDPR cause the necessity to be able to explain the prediction and behavior of machine learning models. A prominent example of particularly intuitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

Data quality is a key element for building and optimizing good learning models. Despite many attempts to characterize data quality, there is still a need for rigorous formalization and an efficient measure of the quality from available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Jouseau Roxane , Salva Sébastien , Samir Chafik

Modelling quantum devices is to find a model according to quantum theory that can explain the result of experiments in a quantum device. We find that usually we cannot correctly identify the model describing the actual physics of the device…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-10-08 Hang Ren , Ying Li