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The exact statistics of an arbitrary quantum observable is analytically obtained. Due to the probabilistic nature of a sequence of intermediate measurements and stochastic fluctuations induced by the interaction with the environment, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-19 Stefano Gherardini

A method for computing probabilistic propositions is presented. It assumes the availability of a single external routine for computing the probability of one instantiated variable, given a conjunction of other instantiated variables. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Gregory F. Cooper

We consider the problem of choosing the best of $n$ samples, out of a large random pool, when the sampling of each member is associated with a certain cost. The quality (worth) of the best sample clearly increases with $n$, but so do the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Joseph D. Skufca , Daniel ben-Avraham

If the rounding errors are assumed to be distributed independently from the intrinsic distribution of the random variable, the sample variance $s^2$ of the rounded variable is given by the sum of the true variance $\sigma^2$ and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-18 J. An

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

This paper treats the variation of sets. We attempt to formulate convergence and continuity of set-valued functions in a different way from the theories on sequences of sets and correspondence. In the final section, we also attempt to…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Takefumi Fujimoto

When permutation methods are used in practice, often a limited number of random permutations are used to decrease the computational burden. However, most theoretical literature assumes that the whole permutation group is used, and methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle Goeman

Normalizing flows are exact-likelihood generative neural networks which approximately transform samples from a simple prior distribution to samples of the probability distribution of interest. Recent work showed that such generative models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Jonas Köhler , Leon Klein , Frank Noé

Model averaging is a useful and robust method for dealing with model uncertainty in statistical analysis. Often, it is useful to consider data subset selection at the same time, in which model selection criteria are used to compare models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

The present report extends the method of fixed point clustering (Phys.Rev. E 61,5, R4691-4693, 2000) by introducing an indirect criterion for the number of clusters. The derived probability function allows an objective distinction of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Hutt , F. Kruggel

A key obstacle in automated analytics and meta-learning is the inability to recognize when different datasets contain measurements of the same variable. Because provided attribute labels are often uninformative in practice, this task may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Jonas Mueller , Alex Smola

The paper elucidates, with an analytic example, a subtle mistake in the application of the extended likelihood method to the problem of determining the fractions of pure samples in a mixed sample from the shape of the distribution of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-11-11 A. Nappi

A specific family of point processes are introduced that allow to select samples for the purpose of estimating the mean or the integral of a function of a real variable. These processes, called quasi-systematic processes, depend on a tuning…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Matthieu Wilhelm , Yves Tillé , Lionel Qualité

Probabilistic predictions are probability distributions over the set of possible outcomes. Such predictions quantify the uncertainty in the outcome, making them essential for effective decision making. By combining multiple predictions, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-26 Sam Allen , David Ginsbourger , Johanna Ziegel

The variant of calculation of functions of set and their application is offered. In particular: the new measure of system of sets generalizing classical concept of a measure is entered; the variation of set that has allowed to construct a…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2007-07-16 A. A. Bosov

The median absolute deviation (MAD) is a robust measure of scale that is simple to implement and easy to interpret. Motivated by this, we introduce interval estimators of the MAD to make reliable inferences for dispersion for a single…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Luke A. Prendergast

Clustered standard errors and approximate randomization tests are popular inference methods that allow for dependence within observations. However, they require researchers to know the cluster structure ex ante. We propose a procedure to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-14 Yong Cai

For scientific computations on a digital computer the set of real number is usually approximated by a finite set F of "floating-point" numbers. We compare the numerical accuracy possible with difference choices of F having approximately the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2010-04-21 Richard P. Brent

We consider the distinct elements problem, where the goal is to estimate the number of distinct colors in an urn containing $ k $ balls based on $n$ samples drawn with replacements. Based on discrete polynomial approximation and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

This paper generalizes several results on linear pooling from squared error loss to all kernel scores. The latter are a rich family of scoring rules that covers point and distribution forecasts for univariate and multivariate, discrete and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-30 Fabian Krüger