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We propose new analytical tools for describing growth-rate distributions generated by stationary time-series. Our analysis shows how deviations from normality are not pathological behaviour, as suggested by some traditional views, but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-01 Edgardo Brigatti

The Master equation describes the time evolution of the probabilities of a system with a discrete state space. This time evolution approaches for long times a stationary state that will in general depend on the initial probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-03-09 Bernd Fernengel , Barbara Drossel

We address the important question of the extent to which random variables and vectors with truncated power tails retain the characteristic features of random variables and vectors with power tails. We define two truncation regimes, soft…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

High-dimensional systems that have a low-dimensional dominant behavior allow for model reduction and simplified analysis. We use differential analysis to formalize this important concept in a nonlinear setting. We show that dominance can be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-08 Fulvio Forni , Rodolphe Sepulchre

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

The theory of stochastic approximations form the theoretical foundation for studying convergence properties of many popular recursive learning algorithms in statistics, machine learning and statistical physics. Large deviations for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Henrik Hult , Adam Lindhe , Pierre Nyquist , Guo-Jhen Wu

Dynamics of inelastic gases are studied within the framework of random collision processes. The corresponding Boltzmann equation with uniform collision rates is solved analytically for gases, impurities, and mixtures. Generally, the energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

In this article we study a small random perturbation of a linear recurrence equation. If all the roots of its corresponding characteristic equation have modulus strictly less than one, the random linear recurrence goes exponentially fast to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Gerardo Barrera , Shuo Liu

Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

We study the effects of discrete, randomly distributed time delays on the dynamics of a coupled system of self-propelling particles. Bifurcation analysis on a mean field approximation of the system reveals that the system possesses patterns…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2015-06-05 Luis Mier-y-Teran-Romero , Brandon Lindley , Ira B. Schwartz

In this paper we revisited the classical problem of max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums in two dimensions. In opposite to the most papers in literature, we consider that there exists some interdependence between the primary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

The recurrence times between extreme events have been the central point of statistical analyses in many different areas of science. Simultaneously, the Poincar\'e recurrence time has been extensively used to characterize nonlinear dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Eduardo G. Altmann , Holger Kantz

We consider a random process as a solution of stochastic differential equations with dependence of the coefficients on small parameter $\varepsilon$ and we suppose that the drift coefficients of these equations are unbounded on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Ivan H. Krykun

In previous work Majda and McLaughlin computed explicit expressions for the $2N$th moments of a passive scalar advected by a linear shear flow in the form of an integral over ${\bf R}^N$. In this paper we first compute the asymptotics of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Bronski , R. M. McLaughlin

The size of the giant component in the configuration model, measured by the asymptotic fraction of vertices in the component, is given by a well-known expression involving the generating function of the degree distribution. In this note, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Maria Deijfen , Sebastian Rosengren , Pieter Trapman

Consider a critical branching random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 1$, started with a single particle at the origin, and let $L(x)$ be the total number of particles that ever visit a vertex $x$. We study the tail of $L(x)$ under suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Omer Angel , Tom Hutchcroft , Antal A. Járai

A decision must often be made between heavy-tailed and Gaussian errors for a regression or a time series model, and the t-distribution is frequently used when it is assumed that the errors are heavy-tailed distributed. The performance of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-11 J. Martin van Zyl

The rate function for large deviations of the finite time Lyapunov exponent for the derived process in TM corresponding to a stochastic differential equation in M is related, via the Gartner-Ellis theorem, to the p-th moment Lyapunov…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Peter H Baxendale

We study cluster sizes in supercritical $d$-dimensional inhomogeneous percolation models with long-range edges -- such as long-range percolation -- and/or heavy-tailed degree distributions -- such as geometric inhomogeneous random graphs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Joost Jorritsma , Júlia Komjáthy , Dieter Mitsche

A discrete-time version of the replicator equation for two-strategy games is studied. The stationary properties differ from that of continuous time for sufficiently large values of the parameters, where periodic and chaotic behavior replace…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-07-14 Daniele Vilone , Alberto Robledo , Angel Sánchez
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