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In this paper, we generalize the upper bound in Varadhan's Lemma. The standard formulation of Varadhan's Lemma contains two important elements, namely an upper semicontinuous integrand and a rate function with compact sublevel sets.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-14 H. M. Jansen , M. R. H. Mandjes , K. De Turck , S. Wittevrongel

It was shown in Groeneboom (1983) that the least concave majorant of one-sided Brownian motion without drift can be characterized by a jump process with independent increments, which is the inverse of the process of slopes of the least…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Piet Groeneboom

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

We investigate the Poisson regression method for Markov and semi-Markov jump processes from a nonparametric angle, allowing the lengths of the time and duration intervals in the partition to vary with the number of observations. Imposing no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

We consider a modified quadratic variation of the Hermite process based on some well-chosen increments of this process. These special increments have the very useful property to be independent and identically distributed up to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Antoine Ayache , Ciprian A Tudor

We adapt and extend Yosida's parametrix method, originally introduced for the construction of the fundamental solution to a parabolic operator on a Riemannian manifold, to derive Varadhan-type asymptotic estimates for the transition density…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Stefano Pagliarani , Sergio Polidoro

We consider a real-valued diffusion process with a linear jump term driven by a Poisson point process and we assume that the jump amplitudes have a centered density with finite moments. We show upper and lower estimates for the density of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Eulalia Nualart , Ngoc Khue Tran

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of realized power variation of pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingales as the sampling frequency within a fixed interval increases to infinity. We prove convergence in probability and an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

The optimal rate of convergence of estimators of the integrated volatility, for a discontinuous It\^{o} semimartingale sampled at regularly spaced times and over a fixed time interval, has been a long-standing problem, at least when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Jean Jacod , Markus Reiss

In this paper we study the Fourier estimator of Malliavin and Mancino for the spot volatility. We establish the convergence of the trigonometric polynomial to the volatility's path in a setting that includes the following aspects. First,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-15 L. J. Espinosa González , Erick Treviño Aguilar

Through chaos decomposition we improve the Varadhan estimate for the rate of convergence of the centered approximate self-intersection local time of planar Brownian motion.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-04-24 Wolfgang Bock , Maria João Oliveira , José Luis da Silva , Ludwig Streit

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

In this article, we prove the Manin conjecture for Darmon points on vector group compactifications using ideas similar to those in [PSTVA21]. We also calculate the leading constants in some examples.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Haruki Ito

We prove a multivariate version of Bernstein's inequality about the probability that degenerate $U$-statistics take a value larger than some number $u$. This is an improvement of former estimates for the same problem which yields an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Major

We consider parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by a Wiener process and a compound Poisson process as small noises. The goal is to give a threshold-type quasi-likelihood estimator and show its consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yasutaka Shimizu

We take a first small step to extend the validity of Rudelson-Vershynin type estimates to some sparse random matrices, here random permutation matrices. We give lower (and upper) bounds on the smallest singular value of a large random…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Gérard Ben Arous , Kim Dang

We propose a new estimation scheme for estimation of the volatility parameters of a semimartingale with jumps based on a jump-detection filter. Our filter uses all of data to analyze the relative size of increments and to discriminate jumps…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We use elementary variational arguments to prove, and improve on, gap estimates which arise in simulating quantum circuits by adiabatic evolution.

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-01-14 Percy Deift , Mary Beth Ruskai , Wolfgang Spitzer

By establishing a local version of Bismut formula for Dirichlet semigroups on a regular domain, gradient estimates are derived for killed SDEs with singular drifts. As an application, the total variation distance between two solutions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Feng-Yu Wang , Xiao-Yu Zhao