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We construct an equilibrium for the continuous time Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity, a general distribution of the fundamental price, and correlated stock and volatility dynamics. For distributions with positive support, our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-26 Ibrahim Ekren , Brad Mostowski , Gordan Žitković

In finance, one usually deals not with prices but with growth rates $R$, defined as the difference in logarithm between two consecutive prices. Here we consider not the trading volume, but rather the volume growth rate $\tilde R$, the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-12 Boris Podobnik , Davor Horvatic , Alexander M. Petersen , H. Eugene Stanley

Power spectrum densities for the number of tick quotes per minute (market activity) on three currency markets (USD/JPY, EUR/USD, and JPY/EUR) for periods from January 1999 to December 2000 are analyzed. We find some peaks on the power…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Aki-Hiro Sato

Using a relationship between the moments of the probability distribution of times between the two consecutive trades (intertrade time distribution) and the moments of the distribution of a daily number of trades we show, that the underlying…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov

The dynamics of minority games with agents trading on different time scales is studied via dynamical mean-field theory. We analyze the case where the agents' decision-making process is deterministic and its stochastic generalization with…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrea De Martino

We live in a computerized and networked society where many of our actions leave a digital trace and affect other people's actions. This has lead to the emergence of a new data-driven research field: mathematical methods of computer science,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Ilaria Bordino , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Matthieu Cristelli , Antti Ukkonen , Ingmar Weber

We investigate the large-fluctuation dynamics in financial markets, based on the minute-to-minute and daily data of the Chinese Indices and German DAX. The dynamic relaxation both before and after the large fluctuations is characterized by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-21 X. F. Jiang , T. T. Chen , B. Zheng

The dynamics of the equal-time cross-correlation matrix of multivariate financial time series is explored by examination of the eigenvalue spectrum over sliding time windows. Empirical results for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-02 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

Universal features in stock markets and their derivative markets are studied by means of probability distributions in internal rates of return on buy and sell transaction pairs. Unlike the stylized facts in log normalized returns, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Lukas Pichl , Taisei Kaizoji , Takuya Yamano

We study the distribution of fluctuations over a time scale $\Delta t$ (i.e., the returns) of the S&P 500 index by analyzing three distinct databases. Database (i) contains approximately 1 million records sampled at 1 min intervals for the…

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 E. Bacry , J. F Muzy

Fundamental variables in financial market are not only price and return but a very important role is also played by trading volumes. Here we propose a new multivariate model that takes into account price returns, logarithmic variation of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-14 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

We study the volatility of the S&P500 stock index from 1984 to 1996 and find that the volatility distribution can be very well described by a log-normal function. Further, using detrended fluctuation analysis we show that the volatility is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Pierre Cizeau , Yanhui Liu , Martin Meyer , C. -K. Peng , H. Eugene Stanley

We propose a Genetic Programming architecture for the generation of foreign exchange trading strategies. The system's principal features are the evolution of free-form strategies which do not rely on any prior models and the utilization of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Simone Cirillo , Stefan Lloyd , Peter Nordin

We quantify Non Fungible Token (NFT) rarity and investigate how it impacts market behaviour by analysing a dataset of 3.7M transactions collected between January 2018 and June 2022, involving 1.4M NFTs distributed across 410 collections.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Amin Mekacher , Alberto Bracci , Matthieu Nadini , Mauro Martino , Laura Alessandretti , Luca Maria Aiello , Andrea Baronchelli

The gain-loss asymmetry, observed in the inverse statistics of stock indices is present for logarithmic return levels that are over $2\%$, and it is the result of the non-Pearson type auto-correlations in the index. These non-Pearson type…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Bulcsú Sándor , Ingve Simonsen , Bálint Zsolt Nagy , Zoltán Néda

In high-frequency financial data not only returns, but also waiting times between consecutive trades are random variables. Therefore, it is possible to apply continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) as phenomenological models of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Enrico Scalas , Rudolf Gorenflo , Hugh Luckock , Francesco Mainardi , Maurizio Mantelli , Marco Raberto

The definition of time is still an open question when one deals with high frequency time series. If time is simply the calendar time, prices can be modeled as continuous random processes and values resulting from transactions or given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Luca Berardi , Maurizio Serva

Detailed study of multifractal characteristics of the financial time series of asset values and of its returns is performed using a collection of the high frequency Deutsche Aktienindex data. The tail index ($\alpha$), the Renyi exponents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Z. Gorski , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

A quantitative check of weak efficiency in US dollar/German mark exchange rates is developed using high frequency data. We show the existence of long term return anomalies. We introduce a technique to measure the available information and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , M. Serva , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani
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