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In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

We propose and investigate probabilistic guarantees for the adversarial robustness of classification algorithms. While traditional formal verification approaches for robustness are intractable and sampling-based approaches do not provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Peter Blohm , Patrick Indri , Thomas Gärtner , Sagar Malhotra

We propose a new statistical hypothesis testing framework which decides visually, using confidence intervals, whether the means of two samples are equal or if one is larger than the other. With our method, the user can at the same time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Timothée Mathieu

This paper studies the problem of testing whether a system of linear equality and inequality constraints admits a solution when the coefficients of that system may have to be estimated. We show that a wide range of inferential questions in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-11 Leonard Goff , Eric Mbakop

Evaluating Software testability can assist software managers in optimizing testing budgets and identifying opportunities for refactoring. In this paper, we abandon the traditional approach of pursuing testability measurements based on the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Luca Guglielmo , Andrea Riboni , Giovanni Denaro

Uncertainty sampling is a prevalent active learning algorithm that queries sequentially the annotations of data samples which the current prediction model is uncertain about. However, the usage of uncertainty sampling has been largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Shang Liu , Xiaocheng Li

Test log-likelihood is commonly used to compare different models of the same data or different approximate inference algorithms for fitting the same probabilistic model. We present simple examples demonstrating how comparisons based on test…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-22 Sameer K. Deshpande , Soumya Ghosh , Tin D. Nguyen , Tamara Broderick

We propose a new approach to sequential testing which is an adaptive (on-line) extension of the (off-line) framework developed in [10]. It relies upon testing of pairs of hypotheses in the case where each hypothesis states that the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

Plausibility is a formalization of exact tests for parametric models and generalizes procedures such as Fisher's exact test. The resulting tests are based on cumulative probabilities of the probability density function and evaluate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Stefan Böhringer , Dietmar Lohmann

In clinical trials the comparison of two different populations is a frequently addressed problem. Non-linear (parametric) regression models are commonly used to describe the relationship between covariates as the dose and a response…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Kathrin Möllenhoff , Frank Bretz , Holger Dette

Human-robot collaboration enables highly adaptive co-working. The variety of resulting workflows makes it difficult to measure metrics as, e.g. makespans or idle times for multiple systems and tasks in a comparable manner. This issue can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Jonathan Hümmer , Dominik Riedelbauch , Dominik Henrich

Motivated by the Model-Based Design process for Cyber-Physical Systems, we consider issues in conformance testing of systems. Conformance is a quantitative notion of similarity between the output trajectories of systems, which considers…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-19 Houssam Abbas , Georgios Fainekos

This article extends the hypotheses assessment method to the case with two competing simple hypotheses. In doing so we further clarify the benefits that hypotheses assessments can bring to classical statistical analyses. Given that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Graham N. Bornholt

Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

We introduce a conceptually simple and effective method to quantify the similarity between relations in knowledge bases. Specifically, our approach is based on the divergence between the conditional probability distributions over entity…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Weize Chen , Hao Zhu , Xu Han , Zhiyuan Liu , Maosong Sun

We study the empirical likelihood approach to construct confidence intervals for the optimal value and the optimality gap of a given solution, henceforth quantify the statistical uncertainty of sample average approximation, for optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Henry Lam , Enlu Zhou

An industrial process includes many devices, variables, and sub-processes that are physically or electronically interconnected. These interconnections imply some level of correlation between different process variables. Since most of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Amir Hossein Kargaran , Amir Neshastegaran , Iman Izadi , Ehsan Yazdian

Applicative bisimulation is a coinductive technique to check program equivalence in higher-order functional languages. It is known to be sound, and sometimes complete, with respect to context equivalence. In this paper we show that…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Ugo Dal Lago , Alessandro Rioli

Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Jan-Matthis Lueckmann , Jan Boelts , David S. Greenberg , Pedro J. Gonçalves , Jakob H. Macke

We consider the problems of statically refuting equivalence and similarity of output distributions defined by a pair of probabilistic programs. Equivalence and similarity are two fundamental relational properties of probabilistic programs…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Ehsan Kafshdar Goharshady , Petr Novotný , Đorđe Žikelić