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Statistical protocols are often used for decision-making involving multiple parties, each with their own incentives, private information, and ability to influence the distributional properties of the data. We study a game-theoretic version…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Flora C. Shi , Stephen Bates , Martin J. Wainwright

Many important tasks of large-scale recommender systems can be naturally cast as testing multiple linear forms for noisy matrix completion. These problems, however, present unique challenges because of the subtle bias-and-variance tradeoff…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Wanteng Ma , Lilun Du , Dong Xia , Ming Yuan

False discovery rate (FDR) is commonly used for correction for multiple testing in neuroimaging studies. However, when using two-tailed tests, making directional inferences about the results can lead to a vastly inflated error rate, even…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Anderson M. Winkler , Paul A. Taylor , Thomas E. Nichols , Chris Rorden

Microfinance, despite its significant potential for poverty reduction, is facing sustainability hardships due to high default rates. Although many methods in regular finance can estimate credit scores and default probabilities, these…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Christian Kurniawan , Xiyu Deng , Adhiraj Chakraborty , Assane Gueye , Niangjun Chen , Yorie Nakahira

In applications such as clinical safety analysis, the data of the experiments usually consists of frequency counts. In the analysis of such data, researchers often face the problem of multiple testing based on discrete test statistics,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-15 Yalin Zhu , Wenge Guo

This article examines the overlooked risk of false negative errors arising from eliminations in forensic firearm comparisons. While recent reforms in forensic science have focused on reducing false positives, eliminations--often based on…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-21 Maria Cuellar

In the multiple testing problem with independent tests, the classical linear step-up procedure controls the false discovery rate (FDR) at level $\pi_0\alpha$, where $\pi_0$ is the proportion of true null hypotheses and $\alpha$ is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Peter MacDonald , Kun Liang , Arnold Janssen

Multiple testing adjustments, such as the Benjamini and Hochberg (1995) step-up procedure for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), are typically applied to families of tests that control significance level in the classical sense: for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Timothy B. Armstrong

In this paper, we present novel methodologies that incorporate auxiliary variables for multiple hypotheses testing related to the main point of interest while effectively controlling the false discovery rate. When dealing with multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Seohwa Hwang , Mark Louie Ramos , DoHwan Park , Junyong Park , Johan Lim , Erin Green

In this paper we introduce a novel procedure for improving multiple testing procedures (MTPs) under scenarios when the null hypothesis $p$-values tend to be stochastically larger than standard uniform (referred to as 'inflated'). An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Jules L. Ellis , Jakub Pecanka , Jelle Goeman

Reliable application of machine learning-based decision systems in the wild is one of the major challenges currently investigated by the field. A large portion of established approaches aims to detect erroneous predictions by means of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Paul F. Jaeger , Carsten T. Lüth , Lukas Klein , Till J. Bungert

This paper considers the problem of measuring the credit risk in portfolios of loans, bonds, and other instruments subject to possible default under multi-factor models. Due to the amount of the portfolio, the heterogeneous effect of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-10 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chuan-Ju Wang

A direct method for calculating default rates by industry and target corporate segments is not possible given the lack of statistical data. The proposed paper considers a model for filtering the dynamics of the probability of default of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-14 Mikhail Pomazanov

The traditional binary classification framework constructs classifiers which may have good accuracy, but whose false positive and false negative error rates are not under users' control. In many cases, one of the errors is more severe and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-22 Miloš Simić

This paper continues the line of research initiated in Liu et. al. (2016) on developing a novel framework for multiple testing of hypotheses grouped in a one-way classified form using hypothesis-specific local false discovery rates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Sanat K. Sarkar , Zhigen Zhao

The intention with this paper is to provide all the estimation concepts and techniques that are needed to implement a two-phases approach to the parametric estimation of probability of default (PD) curves. In the first phase of this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-05 Dirk Tasche

Multiple hypotheses testing is a core problem in statistical inference and arises in almost every scientific field. Given a sequence of null hypotheses $\mathcal{H}(n) = (H_1,..., H_n)$, Benjamini and Hochberg…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-05 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

The introduction of the false discovery rate (FDR) by Benjamini and Hochberg has spurred a great interest in developing methodologies to control the FDR in various settings. The majority of existing approaches, however, address the FDR…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-09 Kasra Alishahi , Ahmad Reza Ehyaei , Ali Shojaie

Credit capital requirements in Internal Rating Based approaches require the calibration of two key parameters: the probability of default and the loss-given-default. This letter considers the uncertainty about these two parameters and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-19 Roberto Baviera

Diagnostic tests play a crucial role in medical care. Thus any new diagnostic tests must undergo a thorough evaluation. New diagnostic tests are evaluated in comparison with the respective gold standard tests. The performance of binary…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-17 Wan Nor Arifin , Umi Kalsom Yusof