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In this paper we use a Malliavin-Stein type method to investigate Poisson and normal approximations for the measurable functions of infinitely many independent random variables. We combine Stein's method with the difference operators in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-13 Nguyen Tien Dung

In classical statistics and distribution testing, it is often assumed that elements can be sampled from some distribution $P$, and that when an element $x$ is sampled, the probability $P$ of sampling $x$ is also known. Recent work in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Talya Eden , Jakob Bæk Tejs Houen , Shyam Narayanan , Will Rosenbaum , Jakub Tětek

The paper concerns the classical occupancy scheme with infinitely many boxes. We establish approximations to the distributions of the number of occupied boxes, and of the number of boxes containing exactly r balls, within the family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 A. D. Barbour

We consider the fundamental learning problem of estimating properties of distributions over large domains. Using a novel piecewise-polynomial approximation technique, we derive the first unified methodology for constructing sample- and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky

This article derives quantitative limit theorems for multivariate Poisson and Poisson process approximations. Employing the solution of Stein's equation for Poisson random variables, we obtain an explicit bound for the multivariate Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Federico Pianoforte , Riccardo Turin

This study develops a non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation theory for distributions of M-estimators, which are defined as maximizers of empirical criterion functions. In existing mathematical statistics literature, numerous studies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Masaaki Imaizumi , Taisuke Otsu

We study a version of the classical Cayley-Moser optimal stopping problem, in which a seller must sell an asset by a given deadline, with the offers, which are independent random variables with a known distribution, arriving at random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Guy Katriel

For integer valued random variables, the translated Poisson distributions form a flexible family for approximation in total variation, in much the same way that the normal family is used for approximation in Kolmogorov distance. Using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-26 A. D. Barbour , Malwina J. Luczak , Aihua Xia

Constrained counting and sampling are two fundamental problems in Computer Science with numerous applications, including network reliability, privacy, probabilistic reasoning, and constrained-random verification. In constrained counting,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Kuldeep S. Meel

We analyze the Gaussian approximation as a method to obtain the first and second moments of a stochastic process described by a master equation. We justify the use of this approximation with ideas coming from van Kampen's expansion approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

In this paper we deal with the classical problem of random cover times. We investigate the distribution of the time it takes for a Poisson process of cylinders to cover a set $A \subset \mathbb{R}^d.$ This Poisson process of cylinders is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Erik I. Broman , Filipe Mussini

Previously referred to as `miraculous' in the scientific literature because of its powerful properties and its wide application as optimal solution to the problem of induction/inference, (approximations to) Algorithmic Probability (AP) and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-16 Hector Zenil , Liliana Badillo , Santiago Hernández-Orozco , Francisco Hernández-Quiroz

In counting experiments, one can set an upper limit on the rate of a Poisson process based on a count of the number of events observed due to the process. In some experiments, one makes several counts of the number of events, using…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-20 Patrick J. Sutton

In this paper, we consider approximating expansions for the distribution of integer valued random variables, in circumstances in which convergence in law cannot be expected. The setting is one in which the simplest approximation to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-11 A. D. Barbour , E. Kowalski , A. Nikeghbali

A classical problem in statistics is estimating the expected coverage of a sample, which has had applications in gene expression, microbial ecology, optimization, and even numismatics. Here we consider a related extension of this problem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-11 Jerrad Hampton , Manuel E. Lladser

We prove the Simons-Johnson theorem for the sums $S_n$ of $m$-dependent random variables, with exponential weights and limiting compound Poisson distribution $\CP(s,\lambda)$. More precisely, we give sufficient conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-04 V. Cekanavicius , P. Vellaisamy

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ are a stream of independent, identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\mu$. This work presents a new estimate $\mu_k$ for $\mu$ with the property that the distribution of the relative error…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-01 Mark Huber

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence $x_1,...,x_n,...$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, it is required…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-13 Daniil Ryabko

This paper focuses on the Coupon Collector's Problem with replacement (limited purchasing of missing stickers) and swapping. We have simulated combined strategies and found new results, which we were able to prove for a particular case. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Niklas Braband , Sonja Braband , Malte Braband
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