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Resilience is becoming crucial for future wireless networks, which must withstand, adapt to, and recover from rare but potentially cascading disruptions. This paper develops a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) simulation framework for such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-07 Onel L. A. López , Amirhossein Azarbahram

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

It is shown that the Shan-Chen (SC) model for non-ideal lattice fluids can be made compliant with a pseudo free-energy principle by simple addition of a gradient force, whose expression is uniquely specified in terms of the fluid density.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 M. Sbragaglia , H. Chen , X. Shan , S. Succi

Stochastic sampling algorithms such as Langevin Monte Carlo are inspired by physical systems in a heat bath. Their equilibrium distribution is the canonical ensemble given by a prescribed target distribution, so they must balance…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-05-06 Jakob Robnik , Uroš Seljak

We formulate both Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithms and basic statistical physics in terms of elementary symmetries. This perspective on sampling yields derivations of well-known MCMC algorithms and a new parallel…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-30 Steve Huntsman

In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-31 Christopher K. Carter , Eduardo F. Mendes , Robert Kohn

We investigate an approximate sampling scheme that can significantly reduce the cost scaling of variational Monte Carlo when it is employed to predict the energy differences associated with local chemical changes. Inspired by side-chaining…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 Sonja Bumann , Eric Neuscamman

Monte Carlo simulations are one of the major tools in statistical physics, complex system science, and other fields, and an increasing number of these simulations is run on distributed systems like clusters or grids. This raises the issue…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-07-03 Heiko Bauke , Stephan Mertens

We introduce a novel Entropy-driven Monte Carlo (EdMC) strategy to efficiently sample solutions of random Constraint Satisfaction Problems (CSPs). First, we extend a recent result that, using a large-deviation analysis, shows that the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-02-26 Carlo Baldassi , Alessandro Ingrosso , Carlo Lucibello , Luca Saglietti , Riccardo Zecchina

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is widely used for sampling from high dimensional target distributions with densities known up to proportionality. While HMC exhibits favorable scaling properties in high dimensions, it struggles with strongly…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-30 Joonha Park

Several disciplines, such as econometrics, neuroscience, and computational psychology, study the dynamic interactions between variables over time. A Bayesian nonparametric model known as the Wishart process has been shown to be effective in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-10 Hester Huijsdens , David Leeftink , Linda Geerligs , Max Hinne

The particle Gibbs (PG) sampler is a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, which uses an interacting particle system to perform the Gibbs steps. Each Gibbs step consists of simulating a particle system conditioned on one particle path.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-19 Bernd Kuhlenschmidt , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful method for drawing samples from non-standard probability distributions and is utilized across many fields and disciplines. Methods such as Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin (MALA) and Hamiltonian…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-28 Lee Devlin , Paul Horridge , Peter L. Green , Simon Maskell

Inference-time scaling has achieved remarkable success in language models, yet its adaptation to diffusion models remains underexplored. We observe that the efficacy of recent Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC)-based methods largely stems from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Xun Su , Jianming Huang , Yang Yusen , Zhongxi Fang , Hiroyuki Kasai

In this paper, I investigate more closely the recently proposed Free Energy Monte Carlo algorithm that is devised in particular for calculations where conventional Monte Carlo simulations struggle with ergodicity problems. The simplest…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. J. Thill

Constraints can be interpreted in a broad sense as any kind of explicit restriction over the parameters. While some constraints are defined directly on the parameter space, when they are instead defined by known behaviour on the model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Shirin Golchi , David A. Campbell

Switching state-space models (SSSM) are a very popular class of time series models that have found many applications in statistics, econometrics and advanced signal processing. Bayesian inference for these models typically relies on Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-11 Nick Whiteley , Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet

In this article we consider computing expectations w.r.t.~probability laws associated to a certain class of stochastic systems. In order to achieve such a task, one must not only resort to numerical approximation of the expectation, but…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-30 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

Monte Carlo (MC) simulations of lattice models are a widely used way to compute thermodynamic properties of substitutional alloys. A limitation to their more widespread use is the difficulty of driving a MC simulation in order to obtain the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. van de Walle , M. Asta

We introduce a guided stochastic sampling method that augments sampling from diffusion models with physics-based guidance derived from partial differential equation (PDE) residuals and observational constraints, ensuring generated samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Andrew Millard , Fredrik Lindsten , Zheng Zhao