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This work derives a theoretical value for the entropy of a Linear Additive Markov Process (LAMP), an expressive model able to generate sequences with a given autocorrelation structure. While a first-order Markov Chain model generates new…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Bridget Smart , Matthew Roughan , Lewis Mitchell

Based on the analysis of probability flow, where the First Passage (FP) is realised as the sink of probability, we summarise the protocol to find the distribution of the First Passage Time (FTP). We also describe the corresponding formula…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-30 Ken Sekimoto

Changing time of simple continuous-time Markov counting processes by independent unit-rate Poisson processes results in Markov counting processes for which we provide closed-form transition rates via composition of trajectories and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Carles Bretó

The joint distribution of the maximum loss and the maximum gain is obtained for a spectrally negative Levy process until the passage time of a given level. Their marginal distributions up to an independent exponential time are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Ceren Vardar Acar , Mine Caglar

We construct obliquely reflected Brownian motions in all bounded simply connected planar domains, including non-smooth domains, with general reflection vector fields on the boundary. Conformal mappings and excursion theory are our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-09 Krzysztof Burdzy , Zhen-Qing Chen , Donald Marshall , Kavita Ramanan

We consider perturbations of positive recurrent Markov modulated fluid models. In addition to the infinitesimal generator of the phases, we also perturb the rate matrix, and analyze the effect of those perturbations on the matrix of first…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-09 Sarah Dendievel , Guy Latouche

This paper is a survey of various proofs of the so called {\em fundamental theorem of Markov chains}: every ergodic Markov chain has a unique positive stationary distribution and the chain attains this distribution in the limit independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Somenath Biswas

We consider the system of one-sided reflected Brownian motions which is in variational duality with Brownian last passage percolation. We show that it has integrable transition probabilities, expressed in terms of Hermite polynomials and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Mihai Nica , Jeremy Quastel , Daniel Remenik

We consider additive functionals of stationary Markov processes and show that under Kipnis-Varadhan type conditions they converge in rough path topology to a Stratonovich Brownian motion, with a correction to the Levy area that can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Jean-Dominique Deuschel , Tal Orenshtein , Nicolas Perkowski

We consider two-dimensional L\'evy processes reflected to stay in the positive quadrant. Our focus is on the non-standard regime when the mean of the free process is negative but the reflection vectors point away from the origin, so that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Vladimir Fomichov , Sandro Franceschi , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The computation of the probability of the first-passage time through a given threshold of a stochastic process is a classic problem that appears in many branches of physics. When the stochastic dynamics is markovian, the probability admits…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-05-05 Michele Maggiore , Antonio Riotto

We characterize recurrence and transience of nonnegative multivariate autoregressive processes of order one with random contractive coefficient matrix, of subcritical multitype Galton-Watson branching processes in random environment with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Martin P. W. Zerner

The resonant activation phenomenon (RAP) in a discrete system is studied using the master equation formalism. We show that the RAP corresponds to a non-monotonic behavior of the frequency dependent first passage time probability density…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 O. Flomenbom , J. Klafter

We consider a Markov chain on non-negative integer arrays of a given shape (and satisfying certain constraints) which is closely related to fundamental $SL(r+1,\mathbb{R})$ Whittaker functions and the Toda lattice. In the index zero case…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Neil O'Connell

Transfer matrix method is a well-known and extensively used tool to compute the reflection and transmission coefficients of electromagnetic waves when interacting with a system of layers parallel to each other. We present here a modified…

Optics · Physics 2017-03-14 Srinivas Ganganagunta

We take on a Random Matrix theory viewpoint to study the spectrum of certain reversible Markov chains in random environment. As the number of states tends to infinity, we consider the global behavior of the spectrum, and the local behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafai

The Skorokhod reflection was used in 1961 to create a reflected diffusion on the half-line. Later, it was used for processes with jumps such as reflected L\'evy processes. Like a Brownian motion, which is a weak limit of random walks,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Andrey Pilipenko , Andrey Sarantsev

We compute the mean first passage time (MFPT) for a Brownian particle inside a two-dimensional disk with reflective boundaries and a small interior trap that is rotating at a constant angular velocity. The inherent symmetry of the problem…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-11-18 Justin C. Tzou , Theodore Kolokolnikov

We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time-homogeneous Markov chain.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-25 Michael Kalkbrener , Natalie Packham

The performance of Maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation is studied analytically for binary symmetric multi-channel Hidden Markov processes. We reduce the estimation problem to a 1D Ising spin model and define order parameters that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Avik Halder , Ansuman Adhikary