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For non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems, mean exit time and escape probability are important deterministic quantities, which can be obtained from integro-differential (nonlocal) equations. We develop an efficient and convergent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

We establish general moment estimates for the discrete and continuous exit times of a general It\^o process in terms of the distance to the boundary. These estimates serve as intermediate steps to obtain strong convergence results for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Bruno Bouchard , Stefan Geiss , Emmanuel Gobet

The dynamics of steps on crystal surfaces is considered. In general, the meandering of the steps obeys a subdiffusive behaviour. The characteristic asymptotic time laws depend on the microscopic mechanism for detachment and attachment of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 W. Selke , M. Bisani

We consider stochastic control with discretionary stopping for the drift of a diffusion process over an infinite time horizon. The objective is to choose a control process and a stopping time to minimize the expectation of a convex terminal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Václav E. Beneš , Georgy Gaitsgori , Ioannis Karatzas

A solution is developed for a convection-diffusion equation describing chemical transport with sorption, decay, and production. The problem is formulated in a finite domain where the appropriate conservation law yields Robin conditions at…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 W. J. Golz , J. R. Dorroh

We study the metastable behavior of diffusion processes in narrow tube domains, where the metastability is induced by entropic barriers. We identify a sequence of characteristic time scales $\{T_\epsilon^i\}_{1 \leq i \leq \abs{V'}}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Wen-Tai Hsu

In the framework of chaotic scattering we analyze passive tracer transport in finite systems. In particular, we study models with open streamlines and a finite number of recirculation zones. In the non trivial case with a small number of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 P. Castiglione , M. Cencini , A. Vulpiani , E. Zambianchi

The crossing probability in the time direction is defined for an off-equilibrium reaction-diffusion system as the probability that the system of size L is still active at time t, in the finite-size scaling limit. Exact results are obtained…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Turban

We suggest an explanation of typical incubation times statistical features based on the universal behavior of exit times for diffusion models. We give a mathematically rigorous proof of the characteristic right skewness of the incubation…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-18 Yuri Bakhtin

We prove anomalous-diffusion scaling for a one-dimensional stochastic kinetic dynamics, in which the stochastic drift is driven by an exogenous Bessel noise, and also includes endogenous volatility which is permitted to have arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Miha Brešar , Conrado da Costa , Aleksandar Mijatović , Andrew Wade

We explain the connection between the Gumbel limit for diffusion exit times and the theory of extreme values.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-09 Yuri Bakhtin

We study the trajectories followed by a particle subjected to weak noise when escaping from the domain of attraction of a stable fixed point. If detailed balance is absent, a _focus_ may occur along the most probable exit path, leading to a…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Robert S. Maier , Daniel L. Stein

Extreme events can come either from point processes, when the size or energy of the events is above a certain threshold, or from time series, when the intensity of a signal surpasses a threshold value. We are particularly concerned by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-26 Alvaro Corral

First exit times from regions and their dependence on variations of boundaries are discussed for diffusion processes. The paper presents an estimate of $L_1$-distance between exit times from two regions via expectations of exit times.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We study exit times from time-dependent domains under joint perturbations of the trajectory and the domain. Representing a moving domain by a continuous barrier $\Phi$ on space-time, we reduce the exit problem to a one-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Tristan Guillaume

The effect of small noise in a smooth dynamical system is negligible on any finite time interval. Here we study situations when it persists on intervals increasing to infinity. Such asymptotic regime occurs when the system starts from…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 J. Baker , P. Chigansky , K. Hamza , F. C. Klebaner

We introduce a new self-interacting random walk on the integers in a dynamic random environment and show that it converges to a pure diffusion in the scaling limit. We also find a lower bound on the diffusion coefficient in some special…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Majid Hosseini , Krishnamurthi Ravishankar

We consider a broad class of Continuous Time Random Walks with large fluctuations effects in space and time distributions: a random walk with trapping, describing subdiffusion in disordered and glassy materials, and a L\'evy walk process,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 R. Burioni , G. Gradenigo , A. Sarracino , A. Vezzani , A. Vulpiani

We study the large deviation estimates for the short time asymptotic behavior of a strongly degenerate diffusion process. Assuming a nilpotent structure of the Lie algebra generated by the driving vector fields, we obtain a graded large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Gérard Ben Arous , Jing Wang
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