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Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time period. Current approaches for estimating the variance of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Rowan Iskandar , Cassandra Berns

In this paper we consider the problem of computing the stationary distribution of nearly completely decomposable Markov processes, a well-established area in the classical theory of Markov processes with broad applications in the design,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Vasileios Kalantzis , Mark S. Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

Given a sequence of i.i.d. random functions $\Psi_{n}:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, we consider the iterated function system and Markov chain which is recursively defined by $X_{0}^{x}:=x$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sara Brofferio , Dariusz Buraczewski

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

We introduce and analyze a new class of monotone stochastic recursions in a regenerative environment which is essentially broader than that of Markov chains. We prove stability theorems and apply our results {to three canonical models in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Sergey Foss , Vsevolod Shneer , Jonathan P. Thomas , Tim Worrall

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

This paper introduces a periodic multivariate Poisson autoregression with potentially infinite memory, with a special focus on the network setting. Using contraction techniques, we study the stability of such a process and provide upper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Mahmoud Khabou , Edward A. K. Cohen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We investigate the periodic and stationary solutions of distribution-dependent stochastic differential equations. While generally, the semigroups associated with the equations are nonlinear, we show that the methods of weak convergence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Wei Sun , Ethan Wong

We study a stochastic multiplicative process with reset events. It is shown that the model develops a stationary power-law probability distribution for the relevant variable, whose exponent depends on the model parameters. Two qualitatively…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

Multivariate regression models and ANOVA are probably the most frequently applied methods of all statistical analyses. We study the case where the predictors are qualitative variables, and the response variable is quantitative. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-04 Abraham Gutierrez , Sebastian Müller

It is well known that the product of two independent regularly varying random variables with the same tail index is again regularly varying with this index. In this paper, we provide sharp sufficient conditions for the regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Piotr Dyszewski , Thomas Mikosch

Semilinear stochastic evolution equations with multiplicative L\'evy noise and monotone nonlinear drift are considered. Unlike other similar works, we do not impose coercivity conditions on coefficients. We establish the continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Erfan Salavati , Bijan Z. Zangeneh

We consider a stationary Markov process that models certain queues with a bulk service of a fixed number $m$ of admitted customers. We find an integral expression of its transition probability function in terms of certain multi-orthogonal…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Ulises Fidalgo

Mediation analysis is an important analytic tool commonly used in a broad range of scientific applications. In this article, we study the problem of mediation analysis when there are multivariate and conditionally dependent mediators, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Lan Luo , Chengchun Shi , Jitao Wang , Zhenke Wu , Lexin Li

We study quasi-linear stochastic partial differential equations with discontinuous drift coefficients. Existence and uniqueness of a solution is already known under weaker conditions on the drift, but we are interested in the regularity of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-27 Torstein Nilssen

A Markov tree is a random vector indexed by the nodes of a tree whose distribution is determined by the distributions of pairs of neighbouring variables and a list of conditional independence relations. Upon an assumption on the tails of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Johan Segers

We show that the stationary distribution of a finite Markov chain can be expressed as the sum of certain normal distributions. These normal distributions are associated to planar graphs consisting of a straight line with attached loops. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-09 John Rhodes , Anne Schilling

We give a development of the ODE method for the analysis of recursive algorithms described by a stochastic recursion. With variability modelled via an underlying Markov process, and under general assumptions, the following results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. Huang , I. Kontoyiannis , S. P. Meyn

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li