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Recently, increasing empirical evidence indicates the extensive existence of heavy tails in the interevent time distributions of various human behaviors. Based on the queuing theory, the Barab\'asi model and its variations suggest the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-07-26 Xiao-Pu Han , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

We investigate disease spreading on eight empirical data sets of human contacts (mostly proximity networks recording who is close to whom, at what time). We compare three levels of representations of these data sets: temporal networks,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-14 Petter Holme

Diseases and other contagion phenomena in nature and society can interact asymmetrically, such that one can benefit from the other, which in turn impairs the first, in analogy with predator-prey systems. Here, we consider two models for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-17 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Yamir Moreno , Francisco A. Rodrigues

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

We discuss how spreading processes on temporal networks are impacted by the shape of their inter-event time distributions. Through simple mathematical arguments and toy examples, we find that the key factor is the ordering in which events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Renaud Lambiotte , Lionel Tabourier , Jean-Charles Delvenne

We introduce a time-varying network model accounting for burstiness and tie reinforcement observed in social networks. The analytical solution indicates a non-trivial phase diagram determined by the competition of the leading terms of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-02 Enrico Ubaldi , Alessandro Vezzani , Marton Karsai , Nicola Perra , Raffaella Burioni

We analyze a model of interacting agents (e.g. prebiotic chemical species) which are represended by nodes of a network, whereas their interactions are mapped onto directed links between these nodes. On a fast time scale, each agent follows…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Adrian M. Seufert , Frank Schweitzer

Dynamical processes exhibiting absorbing states are essential in the modeling of a large variety of situations from material science to epidemiology and social sciences. Such processes exhibit the possibility of avalanching behavior upon…

Developing the ability to comprehensively study infections in small populations enables us to improve epidemic models and better advise individuals about potential risks to their health. We currently have a limited understanding of how…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-14 Wen Dong , Katherine A. Heller , Alex Sandy Pentland

When an infectious disease propagates throughout society, the incidence function may rise at first due to an increase in pathogenicity and then decrease due to inhibitory effects until it reaches saturation. Effective vaccination and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Sushil Pathak , G. Shirisha , K. Venkata Ratnam

Understanding how local perturbations induce the transient dynamics of a network of coupled units is essential to control and operate such systems. Often a perturbation initiated in one unit spreads to other units whose dynamical state they…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-02 Malte Schröder , Xiaozhu Zhang , Justine Wolter , Marc Timme

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model with identical infectivity, where each node is assigned with the same capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step, is presented. We found that on scale-free networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Ming-Feng Zhang , Bing-Hong Wang

The availability of new data sources on human mobility is opening new avenues for investigating the interplay of social networks, human mobility and dynamical processes such as epidemic spreading. Here we analyze data on the time-resolved…

This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a non-exponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multi-stage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-23 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

The metapopulation network model is effectively used to study the spatial spread of epidemics with individuals mobility. Considering the time-varying nature of individual activity and the preferences for attractive destinations in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-27 Lang Zeng , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Seung Yeop Yang , Younghae Do

Random walks are basic diffusion processes on networks and have applications in, for example, searching, navigation, ranking, and community detection. Recent recognition of the importance of temporal aspects on networks spurred studies of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-14 Leo Speidel , Renaud Lambiotte , Kazuyuki Aihara , Naoki Masuda

We study the statistical properties of recurrence times in the self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson process, the simplest extension of the Poisson process that takes into account how the past events influence the occurrence of future…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

Infections diseases are marked by recovering time distributions which can be far from the exponential one associated with Markovian/Poisson processes, broadly applied in epidemic compartmental models. In the present work, we tackled this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-03 José Carlos M. Silva , Diogo H. Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Silvio C. Ferreira

We study the humanitarian response to the destruction brought by the tsunami generated by the Sumatra earthquake of December 26, 2004, as measured by donations, and find that it decays in time as a power law ~ 1/t^(alpha) with alpha=2.5 +/-…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-05-26 Riley Crane , Frank Schweitzer , Didier Sornette

In many epidemiological models a nonlinear transmission function is used in the form of power law relationship. It is constantly argued that such form reflects population heterogeneities including differences in the mixing pattern,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-09-10 Artem S. Novozhilov
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