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Arguably the most important problem in quantitative finance is to understand the nature of stochastic processes that underlie market dynamics. One aspect of the solution to this problem involves determining characteristics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Kevin E. Bassler , Joseph L. McCauley , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

For a continuous-time Markov process, we characterize the law of the first jump location when started from an arbitrary initial distribution, in terms of the invariant distribution of an auxiliary Markov process. This could be of interest…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Andi Q. Wang , David Steinsaltz

The First Passage Time (FPT) is the time taken for a stochastic process to reach a desired threshold. In this letter we address the FPT of the stochastic measurement current in the case of continuously measured quantum systems. Our approach…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-08-08 Michael J. Kewming , Anthony Kiely , Steve Campbell , Gabriel T. Landi

Many out of equilibrium phenomena, such as diffusion-limited reactions or target search processes, are controlled by first-passage events. So far the general determination of the mean first-passage time (FPT) to a target in confinement has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-29 N. Levernier , O. Bénichou , T. Guérin , R. Voituriez

This paper is a survey of various proofs of the so called {\em fundamental theorem of Markov chains}: every ergodic Markov chain has a unique positive stationary distribution and the chain attains this distribution in the limit independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Somenath Biswas

The transport properties of discrete-time random walks on ring networks with deterministic shortcuts are investigated through analytical and numerical methods. The network consists of a periodic chain where each node is connected to its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-30 Oscar Ivan Torres Mena , Francisco J Sevilla

Random search for one or more targets in a bounded domain occurs widely in nature, with examples ranging from animal foraging to the transport of vesicles within cells. Most theoretical studies take a searcher-centric viewpoint, focusing on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-13 Paul C Bressloff

The first passage time (FPT) for random walks is a key indicator of how fast information diffuses in a given system. Despite the role of FPT as a fundamental feature in transport phenomena, its behavior, particularly in heterogeneous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 S. Hwang , D. -S. Lee , B. Kahng

In principle, the generalized master equation can be used to efficiently compute the macroscopic first passage time (FPT) distribution of a complex stochastic system from short-term microscopic simulation data. However, computing its…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 David Shalloway

Possible distributions are discussed for intertrade durations and first-passage processes in financial markets. The view-point of renewal theory is assumed. In order to represent market data with relatively long durations, two types of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Naoya Sazuka , Jun-ichi Inoue , Enrico Scalas

We discuss the temporal distribution of dynamic processes in driven polymer transport inherent to flexible chains due to stochastic tension propagation. The stochasticity originates from the disordered initial configuration of an…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-03 Takuya Saito , Takahiro Sakaue

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

We consider the tail distribution of the edge cover time of a specific non-Markov process, $\delta$ once-reinforced random walk, on finite connected graphs, whose transition probability is proportional to weights of edges. Here the weights…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Xiangyu Huang , Yong Liu , Kainan Xiang

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

The methodology based on the random walk processes is adapted and applied to a comprehensive analysis of the statistical properties of the probability fluxes. To this aim we define a simple model of the Markovian stochastic dynamics on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-15 Przemyslaw Chelminiak , Michal Kurzynski

This paper investigates tail asymptotics of stationary distributions and quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) of continuous-time Markov chains on subsets of the non-negative integers. Based on the so-called flux-balance equation, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

It is considered the integrated process $X(t)= x + \int _0^t Y(s) ds ,$ where $Y(t)$ is a Gauss-Markov process starting from $y.$ The first-passage time (FPT) of $X$ through a constant boundary and the first-exit time of $X$ from an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Mario Abundo

Numerical simulations of particle acceleration in magnetized turbulence have recently observed powerlaw spectra where pile-up distributions are rather expected. We interpret this as evidence for particle segregation based on acceleration…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2020-11-19 Martin Lemoine , Mikhail A. Malkov

This paper focuses on time-varying delayed stochastic differential systems with stochastically switching parameters formulated by a unified switching behavior combining a discrete adapted process and a Cox process. Unlike prior studies…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Xinyu Wu , Zidong Wang , Wenlian Lu

In this paper, we consider a subclass of piecewise deterministic Markov processes with a Polish state space that involve a deterministic motion punctuated by random jumps, occurring in a Poisson-like fashion with some state-dependent rate,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Dawid Czapla