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Related papers: On the multivariate upcrossings index

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For stationary sequences, under general local and asymptotic dependence restrictions, any limiting point process for time normalized upcrossings of high levels is a compound Poisson process, i.e., there is a clustering of high upcrossings,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-10 João Renato Sebastião , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira

The upcrossings index $0\leq \eta\leq 1,$ a measure of the degree of local dependence in the upcrossings of a high level by a stationary process, plays, together with the extremal index $\theta,$ an important role in extreme events…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-04 Ana Paula Martins , João Renato Sebastião

We define a new multivariate time series model by generalizing the ARMAX process in a multivariate way. We give conditions on stationarity and analyze local dependence and domains of attraction. As a consequence of the obtained result, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Marta Ferreira , Helena Ferreira

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for two sub-vectors of a random vector with a multivariate extreme value distribution, corresponding to the limit distribution of the maximum of a multidimensional stationary sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Clara Viseu , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira

The multivariate extremal index function relates the asymptotic distribution of the vector of pointwise maxima of a multivariate stationary sequence to that of the independent sequence from the same stationary distribution. It also measures…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-14 Christian Y. Robert

We define a class of multivariate maxima of moving multivariate maxima, generalising the M4 processes. For these stationary multivariate time series we characterise the joint distribution of extremes and compute the multivariate extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-09 Helena Ferreira

A central issue in the theory of extreme values focuses on suitable conditions such that the well-known results for the limiting distributions of the maximum of i.i.d. sequences can be applied to stationary ones. In this context, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

For arrays $(S_{i,j})_{1\leq i\leq j}$ of random variables that are stationary in an appropriate sense, we show that the fluctuations of the process $(S_{1,n})_{n=1}^{\infty}$ can be bounded in terms of a measure of the ``mean…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Michael Hochman

This article proposes a generalized notion of extreme multivariate dependence between two random vectors which relies on the extremality of the cross-covariance matrix between these two vectors. Using a partial ordering on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Damien Bosc , Alfred Galichon

We generalize the concept of extremal index of a stationary random sequence to the series scheme of identically distributed random variables with random series sizes tending to infinity in probability. We introduce new extremal indices…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Alexey V. Lebedev

We introduce the cluster index of a multivariate regularly varying stationary sequence and characterize the index in terms of the spectral tail process. This index plays a major role in limit theory for partial sums of regularly varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

We introduce some new indexes to measure the departure of any multivariate continuous distribution on non-negative orthant from a given reference one such the uncorrelated exponential model, similar to the relative Fisher dispersion indexes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Célestin C. Kokonendji , Aboubacar Y. Touré , Amadou Sawadogo

Both marginal and dependence features must be described when modelling the extremes of a stationary time series. There are standard approaches to marginal modelling, but long- and short-range dependence of extremes may both appear. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-17 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

We re-consider Leadbetter's extremal index for stationary sequences. It has interpretation as reciprocal of the expected size of an extremal cluster above high thresholds. We focus on heavy-tailed time series, in particular on regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-10 Gloria Buriticá , Meyer Nicolas , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

The extremal index is an important parameter in the characterization of extreme values of a stationary sequence. Our new estimation approach for this parameter is based on the extremal behavior under the local dependence condition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-11 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

A multivariate, stationary time series is said to be jointly regularly varying if all its finite-dimensional distributions are multivariate regularly varying. This property is shown to be equivalent to weak convergence of the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-27 Bojan Basrak , Johan Segers

Factor models have large potencial in the modeling of several natural and human phenomena. In this paper we consider a multivariate time series $\mb{Y}_n$, ${n\geq 1}$, rescaled through random factors $\mb{T}_n$, ${n\geq 1}$, extending some…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-18 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

The conditional value of a stationary random process, given the level-upcrossing of another dependent stationary random process, is considered. Assuming that both processes are weakly non-Gaussian, an analytical approximation for the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-09-28 Romain Hascoët

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos
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