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Related papers: The coalescent and its descendants

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Computational inference of dated evolutionary histories relies upon various hypotheses about RNA, DNA, and protein sequence mutation rates. Using mutation rates to infer these dated histories is referred to as molecular clock assumption.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-11 Lena Collienne , Kieran Elmes , Mareike Fischer , David Bryant , Alex Gavryushkin

We study the effect of biological confounders on the model selection problem between Kingman coalescents with population growth, and Xi-coalescents involving simultaneous multiple mergers. We use a low dimensional, computationally tractable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Maite Wilke Berenguer

Consider a population evolving from year to year through three seasons: spring, summer and winter. Every spring starts with $N$ dormant individuals waking up independently of each other according to a given distribution. Once an individual…

We consider a model of a population of fixed size $N$ undergoing selection. Each individual acquires beneficial mutations at rate $\mu_N$, and each beneficial mutation increases the individual's fitness by $s_N$. Each individual dies at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Jason Schweinsberg

We introduce an individual-based model for structured populations undergoing demographic bottlenecks, i.e. drastic reductions in population size that last many generations and can have arbitrary shapes. We first show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-17 Marta Dai Pra , Alison Etheridge , Jere Koskela , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

Reconstruction of population histories is a central problem in population genetics. Existing coalescent-based methods, like the seminal work of Li and Durbin (Nature, 2011), attempt to solve this problem using sequence data but have no…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-11 Younhun Kim , Frederic Koehler , Ankur Moitra , Elchanan Mossel , Govind Ramnarayan

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

Most species are structured and influenced by processes that either increased or reduced gene flow between populations. However, most population genetic inference methods ignore population structure and reconstruct a history characterized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-10 Olivier Mazet , Willy Rodríguez , Simona Grusea , Simon Boitard , Lounès Chikhi

Changes in population size influence genetic diversity of the population and, as a result, leave a signature of these changes in individual genomes in the population. We are interested in the inverse problem of reconstructing past…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Julia A. Palacios , Vladimir N. Minin

We establish convergence to the Kingman coalescent for the genealogy of a geographically - or otherwise - structured version of the Wright-Fisher population model with fast migration. The new feature is that migration probabilities may…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-25 Serik Sagitov , Peter Jagers , Vladimir Vatutin

A popular line of research in evolutionary biology is the use of time-calibrated phylogenies for the inference of diversification processes. This requires computing the likelihood of a given ultrametric tree as the reconstructed tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-24 Amaury Lambert , Hélène Morlon , Rampal S. Etienne

Take a continuous-time Galton-Watson tree. If the system survives until a large time $T$, then choose $k$ particles uniformly from those alive. What does the ancestral tree drawn out by these $k$ particles look like? Some special cases are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Matthew I. Roberts

Because biological processes can make different loci have different evolutionary histories, species tree estimation requires multiple loci from across the genome. While many processes can result in discord between gene trees and species…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-13 Md. Shamsuzzoha Bayzid , Siavash Mirarab , Bastien Boussau , Tandy Warnow

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. The structure of a biological population affects which traits evolve. Understanding evolutionary game dynamics in structured populations is difficult. Precise results have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-16 Benjamin Allen , Gabor Lippner , Yu-Ting Chen , Babak Fotouhi , Naghmeh Momeni , Martin A. Nowak , Shing-Tung Yau

Consider an arbitrary large population at the present time, originated at an unspecified arbitrary large time in the past, where individuals in the same generation reproduce independently, forward in time, with the same offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Airam Blancas , Sandra Palau

Consider a population of fixed size that evolves over time. At each time, the genealogical structure of the population can be described by a coalescent tree whose branches are traced back to the most recent common ancestor of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-14 Jason Schweinsberg

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

Inference with population genetic data usually treats the population pedigree as a nuisance parameter, the unobserved product of a past history of random mating. However, the history of genetic relationships in a given population is a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-02 Peter L. Ralph

Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting…

Kingman's coalescent is a random tree that arises from classical population genetic models such as the Moran model. The individuals alive in these models correspond to the leaves in the tree and the following two laws of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Andrej Depperschmidt , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Annika Scheuringer