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A semi-measure is a generalization of a probability measure obtained by relaxing the additivity requirement to super-additivity. We introduce and study several randomness notions for left-c.e. semi-measures, a natural class of effectively…

Logic · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Laurent Bienvenu , Rupert Hölzl , Christopher P. Porter , Paul Shafer

These are lecture notes written at the University of Zurich during spring 2014 and spring 2015. The first part of the notes gives an introduction to probability theory. It explains the notion of random events and random variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Nima Moshayedi

We provide an overview of recent progress in statistical inverse problems with random experimental design, covering both linear and nonlinear inverse problems. Different regularization schemes have been studied to produce robust and stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Abhishake , Tapio Helin , Nicole Mücke

In decision-making problems under uncertainty, probabilistic constraints are a valuable tool to express safety of decisions. They result from taking the probability measure of a given set of random inequalities depending on the decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Yassine Laguel , Wim van Ackooij , Jérôme Malick , Guilherme Ramalho

In this paper, we introduce the rich classes of conditional distortion (CoD) risk measures and distortion risk contribution ($\Delta$CoD) measures as measures of systemic risk and analyze their properties and representations. The classes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Jan Dhaene , Roger J. A. Laeven , Yiying Zhang

A key idea in convex optimization theory is to use well-structured affine functions to approximate general functions, leading to impactful developments in conjugate functions and convex duality theory. This raises the question: what are the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Ningji Wei

We present a general framework for a comparative theory of variability measures, with a particular focus on the recently introduced one-parameter families of inter-Expected Shortfall differences and inter-expectile differences, that are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Fabio Bellini , Tolulope Fadina , Ruodu Wang , Yunran Wei

We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper , Mathias Pohl

This paper extends the link between stochastic approximation (SA) theory and randomized urn models developed in Laruelle, Pag{\`e}s (2013), and their applications to clinical trials introduced in Bai, HU (1999,2005) and Bai, Hu, Shen…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Sophie Laruelle , Gilles Pagès

We give sufficient conditions for the expected excess and the upper semideviation of recourse functions to be strongly convex. This is done in the setting of two-stage stochastic programs with complete linear recourse and random right-hand…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Matthias Claus , Rüdiger Schultz , Kai Spürkel

The intuition of risk is based on two main concepts: loss and variability. In this paper, we present a composition of risk and deviation measures, which contemplate these two concepts. Based on the proposed Limitedness axiom, we prove that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Marcelo Brutti Righi

In this paper we develop tools for studying limit theorems by means of convexity. We establish bounds for the discrepancy in total variation between probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ such that $\nu$ is log-concave with respect to $\mu$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Arturo Jaramillo , James Melbourne

In the first part Busemann concavity as non-negative curvature is introduced and a bi-Lipschitz splitting theorem is shown. Furthermore, if the Hausdorff measure of a Busemann concave space is non-trivial then the space is doubling and…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Martin Kell

Ratios of random variables often appear in probability and statistical applications. We aim to approximate the moments of such ratios under several dependence assumptions. Extending the ideas in Collomb [C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris 285 (1977)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Paul Doukhan , Gabriel Lang

Let $(B,\|\cdot\|)$ be a Banach space, $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P)$ a probability space and $L^0(\mathcal{F},B)$ the set of equivalence classes of strong random elements (or strongly measurable functions) from $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P)$ to…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Tiexin Guo , Erxin Zhang , Yachao Wang , George Yuan

Inspired by logistic regression, we introduce a regression model for data tuples consisting of a binary response and a set of covariates residing in a metric space without vector structures. Based on the proposed model we also develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-15 Yinan Lin , Zhenhua Lin

Symmetry plays a central role in the sciences, machine learning, and statistics. While statistical tests for the presence of distributional invariance with respect to groups have a long history, tests for conditional symmetry in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Kenny Chiu , Alex Sharp , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

Random features is one of the most popular techniques to speed up kernel methods in large-scale problems. Related works have been recognized by the NeurIPS Test-of-Time award in 2017 and the ICML Best Paper Finalist in 2019. The body of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Fanghui Liu , Xiaolin Huang , Yudong Chen , Johan A. K. Suykens

Generalization methods offer a powerful solution to one of the key drawbacks of randomized controlled trials (RCTs): their limited representativeness. By enabling the transport of treatment effect estimates to target populations subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Ahmed Boughdiri , Clément Berenfeld , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet

We survey some geometrical properties of trajectories of $d$-dimensional random walks via the application of functional limit theorems. We focus on the functional law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem (Donsker's…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Chak Hei Lo , James McRedmond , Clare Wallace