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The robust estimation of dynamically changing features, such as the position of prey, is one of the hallmarks of perception. On an abstract, algorithmic level, nonlinear Bayesian filtering, i.e. the estimation of temporally changing signals…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-05 Anna Kutschireiter , Simone Carlo Surace , Henning Sprekeler , Jean-Pascal Pfister

The paper investigates nonlinear system identification using system output data at various linearized operating points. A feed-forward multi-layer Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based approach is used for this purpose and tested for two…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Sayan Saha , Saptarshi Das , Anish Acharya , Abhishek Kumar , Sumit Mukherjee , Indranil Pan , Amitava Gupta

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) place priors over the parameters in a neural network. Inference in BNNs, however, is difficult; all inference methods for BNNs are approximate. In this work, we empirically compare the quality of predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Jiayu Yao , Weiwei Pan , Soumya Ghosh , Finale Doshi-Velez

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

Recent advances in computing power and the potential to make more realistic assumptions due to increased flexibility have led to the increased prevalence of simulation models in economics. While models of this class, and particularly…

General Economics · Economics 2019-06-12 Donovan Platt

We recently developed a Bayesian framework for parameter estimation in general effective field theories. Here we present selected results from using that framework to estimate parameters with a nucleon-nucleon (NN) potential derived using…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-03-15 S. Wesolowski , R. J. Furnstahl , J. A. Melendez , D. R. Phillips

When dealing with Bayesian inference the choice of the prior often remains a debatable question. Empirical Bayes methods offer a data-driven solution to this problem by estimating the prior itself from an ensemble of data. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-13 Ilja Klebanov , Alexander Sikorski , Christof Schütte , Susanna Röblitz

We introduce a Bayesian protocol based on artificial neural networks that is suitable for modeling inclusive electron-nucleus scattering on a variety of nuclear targets with quantified uncertainties. Unlike previous applications in the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-06-11 Joanna E. Sobczyk , Noemi Rocco , Alessandro Lovato

In federated learning problems, data is scattered across different servers and exchanging or pooling it is often impractical or prohibited. We develop a Bayesian nonparametric framework for federated learning with neural networks. Each data…

Graphs are ubiquitous in modelling relational structures. Recent endeavours in machine learning for graph-structured data have led to many architectures and learning algorithms. However, the graph used by these algorithms is often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-25 Soumyasundar Pal , Saber Malekmohammadi , Florence Regol , Yingxue Zhang , Yishi Xu , Mark Coates

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Extended vector meson dominance model, that allows to describe the electromagnetic form factors of nucleons obeying the asymptotic quark counting rule prescriptions and contains the minimal number of free parameters, is presented. We get a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-11-20 Amand Faessler , M. I. Krivoruchenko , B. V. Martemyanov

We introduce a new framework for quantifying correlated uncertainties of the infinite-matter equation of state derived from chiral effective field theory ($\chi$EFT). Bayesian machine learning via Gaussian processes with physics-based…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-01-08 C. Drischler , R. J. Furnstahl , J. A. Melendez , D. R. Phillips

Modern neural networks tend to be overconfident on unseen, noisy or incorrectly labelled data and do not produce meaningful uncertainty measures. Bayesian deep learning aims to address this shortcoming with variational approximations (such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-28 Nick Pawlowski , Andrew Brock , Matthew C. H. Lee , Martin Rajchl , Ben Glocker

This paper considers the problem of learning the parameters in Bayesian networks of discrete variables with known structure and hidden variables. Previous approaches in these settings typically use expectation maximization; when the network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Yonatan Halpern , David Sontag

We extend the well-known and widely used Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) by including nodal random effects to compensate for heterogeneity in the nodes of a network. The Bayesian framework for ERGMs proposed by Caimo and Friel (2011)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-13 Stephanie Thiemichen , Nial Friel , Alberto Caimo , Göran Kauermann

A neural network with fixed topology can be regarded as a parametrization of functions, which decides on the correlations between functional variations when parameters are adapted. We propose an analysis, based on a differential geometry…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Toussaint

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have been long considered an ideal, yet unscalable solution for improving the robustness and the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks. While they could capture more accurately the posterior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Gianni Franchi , Andrei Bursuc , Emanuel Aldea , Severine Dubuisson , Isabelle Bloch

Neural networks are a convenient way to automatically fit functions that are too complex to be described by hand. The downside of this approach is that it leads to build a black-box without understanding what happened inside. Finding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Théo Nancy , Vassili Maillet , Johann Barbier

Bayesian Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) is a promising approach for understanding uncertainty and structure in matrix data. However, a large volume of applied work optimizes traditional non-Bayesian NMF objectives that fail to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-19 M. Arjumand Masood , Finale Doshi-Velez
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