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Nested Monte Carlo is widely used for risk estimation, but its efficiency is limited by the discontinuity of the indicator function and high computational cost. This paper proposes a nested Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method combined with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Yu Xu , Xiaoqun Wang

This paper presents uniform estimation and inference theory for a large class of nonparametric partitioning-based M-estimators. The main theoretical results include: (i) uniform consistency for convex and non-convex objective functions;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yingjie Feng , Boris Shigida

We study the approximation of expectations $\E(f(X))$ for Gaussian random elements $X$ with values in a separable Hilbert space $H$ and Lipschitz continuous functionals $f \colon H \to \R$. We consider restricted Monte Carlo algorithms,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Michael B. Giles , Mario Hefter , Lukas Mayer , Klaus Ritter

In this paper, we consider the infinite-dimensional integration problem on weighted reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces with norms induced by an underlying function space decomposition of ANOVA-type. The weights model the relative importance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Jan Baldeaux , Michael Gnewuch

Monte Carlo approximations for random linear elliptic PDE constrained optimization problems are studied. We use empirical process theory to obtain best possible mean convergence rates $O(n^{-\frac{1}{2}})$ for optimal values and solutions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Werner Römisch , Thomas M. Surowiec

Monte Carlo methods to evaluate and maximize the likelihood function enable the construction of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, facilitating scientific investigation using models for which the likelihood function is intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Edward L. Ionides , Carles Breto , Joonha Park , Richard A. Smith , Aaron A. King

We study the application of a tailored quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method to a class of optimal control problems subject to parabolic partial differential equation (PDE) constraints under uncertainty: the state in our setting is the solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Claudia Schillings , Ian H. Sloan

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods are equal weight quadrature rules to approximate integrals over the unit cube with respect to the uniform measure. In this paper we discuss QMC integration with respect to general product measures defined on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Josef Dick , Friedrich Pillichshammer

This paper gives foundational results for the application of quasi-stationarity to Monte Carlo inference problems. We prove natural sufficient conditions for the quasi-limiting distribution of a killed diffusion to coincide with a target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-07 Andi Q. Wang , Martin Kolb , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz

Antithetic sampling, which goes back to the classical work by Hammersley and Morton (1956), is one of the well-known variance reduction techniques for Monte Carlo integration. In this paper we investigate its application to digital nets…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Takashi Goda

In this article we offer some modification of Monte-Carlo method for multiple parametric integral computation and solving of a linear integral Fredholm equation of a second kind (well posed problem). We prove that the rate of convergence of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2011-01-28 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

The problem of estimating the probability p=P(g(X<0) is considered when X represents a multivariate stochastic input of a monotone function g. First, a heuristic method to bound p is formally described, involving a specialized design of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet

The paper is devoted to a detailed analysis of nonlocal error bounds for nonconvex piecewise affine functions. We both improve some existing results on error bounds for such functions and present completely new necessary and/or sufficient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-23 M. V. Dolgopolik

This paper concerns the use of a particular class of determinantal point processes (DPP), a class of repulsive spatial point processes, for Monte Carlo integration. Let $d\ge 1$, $I\subseteq \overline d=\{1,\dots,d\}$ with $\iota=|I|$.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-19 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Adrien Mazoyer , Pierre-Olivier Amblard

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

We analyze the convergence of higher order Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) quadratures of solution-functionals to countably-parametric, nonlinear operator equations with distributed uncertain parameters taking values in a separable Banach space $X$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Josef Dick , Quoc T. Le Gia , Christoph Schwab

We prove lower bounds for the randomized approximation of the embedding $\ell_1^m \rightarrow \ell_\infty^m$ based on algorithms that use arbitrary linear (hence non-adaptive) information provided by a (randomized) measurement matrix $N \in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Robert Kunsch , Erich Novak , Marcin Wnuk

Trotter product formulas are a natural and powerful approach to perform quantum simulation. However, the error analysis of product formulas is challenging, and their cost is often overestimated. It is established that Trotter error can be…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-14 Nick S. Blunt , Aleksei V. Ivanov , Andreas Juul Bay-Smidt

A lower bound on the minimum error probability for multihypothesis testing is established. The bound, which is expressed in terms of the cumulative distribution function of the tilted posterior hypothesis distribution given the observation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-07-19 Po-Ning Chen , Fady Alajaji

This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker