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In the present paper, we derive lower bounds for the risk of the nonparametric empirical Bayes estimators. In order to attain the optimal convergence rate, we propose generalization of the linear empirical Bayes estimation method which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-12 Rida Benhaddou , Marianna Pensky

With a Bayesian approach, the linear optics correction algorithm for storage rings is revisited. Starting from the Bayes' theorem, a complete linear optics model is simplified as "likelihood functions" and "prior probability distributions".…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2019-04-18 Yongjun Li , Robert Rainer , Weixing Cheng

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient optimization algorithm widely employed across various applications. In some challenging BO tasks, input uncertainty arises due to the inevitable randomness in the optimization process, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Lin Yang , Junlong Lyu , Wenlong Lyu , Zhitang Chen

Carvalho (2010) established two foundational theorems for the horseshoe prior: tight two-sided logarithmic bounds on the marginal density near the origin (Theorem~1.1), and a super-efficient rate of convergence of the Bayes predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

Testing for the significance of a subset of regression coefficients in a linear model, a staple of statistical analysis, goes back at least to the work of Fisher who introduced the analysis of variance (ANOVA). We study this problem under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Ery Arias-Castro , Emmanuel J. Candès , Yaniv Plan

We study asymptotic behaviors of Bayes type estimators and give sufficient conditions to obtain asymptotic limit distribution of estimation error. We assume polynomial type large deviation inequalities and prove asymptotic equivalence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Teppei Ogihara

This paper studies the multiplicity-correction effect of standard Bayesian variable-selection priors in linear regression. Our first goal is to clarify when, and how, multiplicity correction happens automatically in Bayesian analysis, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-11 James G. Scott , James O. Berger

We consider nonparametric estimation of a mixed discrete-continuous distribution under anisotropic smoothness conditions and possibly increasing number of support points for the discrete part of the distribution. For these settings, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-21 Andriy Norets , Justinas Pelenis

We give some results relating asymptotic characterisations of maximum entropy probability measures to characterisations of Bayes optimal classifiers. Our main theorems show that maximum entropy is a universally Bayes optimal decision rule…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Dalton A R Sakthivadivel

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a widely used inference method in Bayesian statistics to bypass the point-wise computation of the likelihood. In this paper we develop theoretical bounds for the distance between the statistics used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-03 James Ridgway

For finite parameter spaces under finite loss, every Bayes procedure derived from a prior with full support is admissible, and every admissible procedure is Bayes. This relationship already breaks down once we move to finite-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Haosui Duanmu , Daniel M. Roy

We identify the critical deviation scale governing Bayesian evidence accumulation in regular parametric testing. Under integrated Bayes risk with zero-one loss, the risk-optimal rejection boundary lies in a moderate deviation regime, with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

Bayesian optimisation (BO) is a well-known efficient algorithm for finding the global optimum of expensive, black-box functions. The current practical BO algorithms have regret bounds ranging from $\mathcal{O}(\frac{logN}{\sqrt{N}})$ to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Hung Tran-The , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of the penalized least squares estimator using an adaptive group Lasso penalty for the reduced rank regression. The group Lasso penalty is defined in the way that the regression coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Kejun He , Jianhua Z. Huang

Much is now known about the consistency of Bayesian updating on infinite-dimensional parameter spaces with independent or Markovian data. Necessary conditions for consistency include the prior putting enough weight on the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Our recently developed "unbiased" extremum seeking (uES) algorithms ensure perfect convergence to the optimum at a user-assigned exponential rate or, more powerfully, within a user-prescribed time. Unlike classical approach, these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Cemal Tugrul Yilmaz , Mamadou Diagne , Miroslav Krstic

Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is unavailable but simulating from the model is possible. However, many ABC algorithms require a large number of simulations, which can be costly.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-15 Marko Järvenpää , Michael U. Gutmann , Arijus Pleska , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

The kernel-based regularization method has two core issues: kernel design and hyperparameter estimation. In this paper, we focus on the second issue and study the properties of several hyperparameter estimators including the empirical Bayes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-04 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Lennart Ljung

The Probability Estimation Framework involves direct estimation of the probability of occurrences of outcomes conditioned on measurement settings and side information. It is a powerful tool for certifying randomness in quantum non-locality…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-12 Soumyadip Patra , Peter Bierhorst