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Estimating the probability of failures or accidents with aerospace systems is often necessary when new concepts or designs are introduced, as it is being done for Autonomous Aircraft. If the design is safe, as it is supposed to be, accident…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-10 Ítalo Romani de Oliveira , Jeffery Musiak

Reducing traffic accidents is an important public safety challenge, therefore, accident analysis and prediction has been a topic of much research over the past few decades. Using small-scale datasets with limited coverage, being dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Sobhan Moosavi , Mohammad Hossein Samavatian , Srinivasan Parthasarathy , Radu Teodorescu , Rajiv Ramnath

Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

Given an on-board diagnostics (OBD) dataset and a physics-based emissions prediction model, this paper aims to develop an accurate and computational-efficient AI (Artificial Intelligence) method that predicts vehicle emissions. The problem…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Harish Panneer Selvam , Yan Li , Pengyue Wang , William F. Northrop , Shashi Shekhar

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

Anomaly detection in road networks is vital for traffic management and emergency response. However, existing approaches do not directly address multiple anomaly types. We propose a tensor-based spatio-temporal model for detecting multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-31 Ming Xu , Jianping Wu , Haohan Wang , Mengxin Cao

This paper introduces FANTF (Fuzzy Attention Network-Based Transformers), a novel approach that integrates fuzzy logic with existing transformer architectures to advance time series forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection tasks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Sanjay Chakraborty , Fredrik Heintz

This study introduces a novel forecasting strategy that leverages the power of fractional differencing (FD) to capture both short- and long-term dependencies in time series data. Unlike traditional integer differencing methods, FD preserves…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Sarit Maitra , Vivek Mishra , Srashti Dwivedi , Sukanya Kundu , Goutam Kumar Kundu

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Many motion planning algorithms for automated driving require estimating the probability of collision (POC) to account for uncertainties in the measurement and estimation of the motion of road users. Common POC estimation techniques often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Leon Tolksdorf , Arturo Tejada , Christian Birkner , Nathan van de Wouw

For traffic prediction in transportation services such as car-sharing and ride-hailing, mid-term road traffic prediction (within a few hours) is considered essential. However, the existing road-level traffic prediction has mainly studied…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Sumin Han , Jisun An , Dongman Lee

The practice of stochastic sensitivity analysis described in the decision analysis literature is a testimonial to the need for considering deviations from precise point estimates of uncertainty. We propose the use of Bayesian fuzzy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Pramod Jain , Alice M. Agogino

In this paper, a method of prediction on continuous time series variables from the production or flow -- an LSTM algorithm based on multivariate tuning -- is proposed. The algorithm improves the traditional LSTM algorithm and converts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Hongzhi Wang , Yang Song , Shihan Tang

In this paper, we introduce a technique to enhance the computational efficiency of solution algorithms for high-dimensional discrete simulation-based optimization problems. The technique is based on innovative adaptive partitioning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Jing Lu , Tianli Zhou , Carolina Osorio

Selecting an appropriate clustering method as well as an optimal number of clusters in road accident data is at times confusing and difficult. This paper analyzes shortcomings of different existing techniques applied to cluster…

The random nature of traffic conditions on freeways can cause excessive congestions and irregularities in the traffic flow. Ramp metering is a proven effective method to maintain freeway efficiency under various traffic conditions. Creating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-17 Anahita Sanandaji , Saeed Ghanbartehrani , Zahra Mokhtari , Kimia Tajik

Load balancing is the process of improving the Performance of a parallel and distributed system through is distribution of load among the processors [1-2]. Most of the previous work in load balancing and distributed decision making in…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2009-10-05 Abbas Karimi , Faraneh Zarafshan , Adznan. b. Jantan , A. R Ramli , M. Iqbal b. Saripan

This paper introduces an algorithm-agnostic approach to feature-based time series clustering via amortized neural inference. By training neural networks to approximate the optimal partitioning rule from simulated data, the proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ángel López-Oriona , Ying Sun

The performance of vehicle active safety systems is dependent on the friction force arising from the contact of tires and the road surface. Therefore, an adequate knowledge of the tire-road friction coefficient is of great importance to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-18 Alexandre M. Ribeiro , Alexandra Moutinho , André R. Fioravanti , Ely C. de Paiva
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