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Related papers: Implicit particle filters for data assimilation

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The ability to track a moving vehicle is of crucial importance in numerous applications. The task has often been approached by the importance sampling technique of particle filters due to its ability to model non-linear and non-Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Kira Kempinska , John Shawe-Taylor

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Particle filters are a powerful and flexible tool for performing inference on state-space models. They involve a collection of samples evolving over time through a combination of sampling and re-sampling steps. The re-sampling step is…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-17 Deborshee Sen , Alexandre Thiery , Ajay Jasra

The understanding of nonlinear, high dimensional flows, e.g, atmospheric and ocean flows, is critical to address the impacts of global climate change. Data Assimilation techniques combine physical models and observational data, often in a…

Particle filtering is a standard Monte-Carlo approach for a wide range of sequential inference tasks. The key component of a particle filter is a set of particles with importance weights that serve as a proxy of the true posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Ruizhi Deng , Greg Mori , Andreas M. Lehrmann

We introduce a framework for Data Assimilation (DA) in which the data is split into multiple sets corresponding to low-rank projections of the state space. Algorithms are developed that assimilate some or all of the projected data,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-19 John Maclean , Erik S Van Vleck

In this paper, we develop a drift homotopy implicit particle filter method. The methodology of our approach is to adopt the concept of drift homotopy in the resampling procedure of the particle filter method for solving the nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Xin Li , Feng Bao , Kyle Gallivan

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

In this study, we explore data assimilation for the Stochastic Camassa-Holm equation through the application of the particle filtering framework. Specifically, our approach integrates adaptive tempering, jittering, and nudging techniques to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Colin John Cotter , Dan Crisan , Maneesh Kumar Singh

Particle filters are applicable to a wide range of nonlinear, non-Gaussian state-space models and have already been applied to a variety of problems. However, there is a problem in the calculation of smoothed distributions, where particles…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-16 G. Kitagawa

Particle Flow Filters estimate the ``a posteriori" probability density function (PDF) by moving an ensemble of particles according to the likelihood. Particles are propagated under the system dynamics until a measurement becomes available…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Simone Servadio

A thesis on some recursive Bayesian filters for data assimilation

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-12-01 Xiaodong Luo

Particle filtering is a popular method for inferring latent states in stochastic dynamical systems, whose theoretical properties have been well studied in machine learning and statistics communities. In many control problems, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Simon S. Du , Wei Hu , Zhiyuan Li , Ruoqi Shen , Zhao Song , Jiajun Wu

In Data Assimilation, observations are fused with simulations to obtain an accurate estimate of the state and parameters for a given physical system. Combining data with a model, however, while accurately estimating uncertainty, is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Nikolaj T. Mücke , Sander M. Bohté , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

We investigate a new sampling scheme aimed at improving the performance of particle filters whenever (a) there is a significant mismatch between the assumed model dynamics and the actual system, or (b) the posterior probability tends to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-20 Ömer Deniz Akyıldız , Joaquín Míguez

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Conventional recursive filtering approaches, designed for quantifying the state of an evolving uncertain dynamical system with intermittent observations, use a sequence of (i) an uncertainty propagation step followed by (ii) a step where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Wonjung Lee , Chris Farmer

Particle filtering is a numerical Bayesian technique that has great potential for solving sequential estimation problems involving non-linear and non-Gaussian models. Since the estimation accuracy achieved by particle filters improves as…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-22 Jeyarajan Thiyagalingam , Lykourgos Kekempanos , Simon Maskell