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This paper studies causal discovery in irregularly sampled time series-a key challenge in risk-sensitive domains like finance, healthcare, and climate science, where missing data and inconsistent sampling frequencies distort causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Weihong Li , Baohong Li , Anpeng Wu , Zhihan Li , Ming Ma , Keting Yin , Kun Kuang

The analytical continuation of correlation functions from imaginary to real time is a crucial step in lattice gauge theories, and it challenges our ability to derive non-perturbative predictions from lattice simulations. We review aspects…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2024-10-15 Luigi Del Debbio , Alessandro Lupo , Marco Panero , Nazario Tantalo

The response of thermodynamic systems perturbed out of an equilibrium steady-state is described by the reciprocal and the fluctuation-dissipation relations. The so-called fluctuation theorems extended the study of fluctuations far beyond…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-21 Matteo Polettini , Massimiliano Esposito

A refracted L\'evy process is a L\'evy process whose dynamics change by subtracting off a fixed linear drift (of suitable size) whenever the aggregate process is above a pre-specified level. More precisely, whenever it exists, a refracted…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Andreas E. Kyprianou , J. C. Pardo , J. L. Pérez

We consider the problem of threshold estimation for autoregressive time series with a "space switching" in the situation, when the regression is nonlinear and the innovations have a smooth, possibly non Gaussian, probability density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Pavel Chigansky , Yury Kutoyants

Time-reversal symmetry is a prevalent feature of microscopic physics, including operational quantum theory and classical general relativity. Previous works have studied indefinite causal structure using the language of operational quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-27 Luke Mrini , Lucien Hardy

We show that the Bessel equation can be cast, by means of suitable transformations, into a system of two damped/amplified parametric oscillator equations. The relation with the group contraction mechanism is analyzed and the breakdown of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Eleonora Alfinito , Giuseppe Vitiello

We study a time-varying Bayesian optimization problem with bandit feedback, where the reward function belongs to a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). We approach the problem via an upper-confidence bound Gaussian Process algorithm,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Eliabelle Mauduit , Eloïse Berthier , Andrea Simonetto

The gauge dependence of the time-ordered products for Yang-Mills theories is analysed in perturbation theory by means of the causal method of Epstein and Glaser together with perturbative gauge invariance. This approach allows a simple…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Andreas Aste , Michael D"utsch , G"unter Scharf

The infinitesimal generator of a one-dimensional strictly $\alpha$-stable process can be represented as a weighted sum of (right and left) Riemann-Liouville fractional derivatives of order $\alpha$ and one obtains the fractional Laplacian…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Alejandro Santoyo Cano , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

Quantile clocks are defined as convolutions of subordinators $L$, with quantile functions of positive random variables. We show that quantile clocks can be chosen to be strictly increasing and continuous and discuss their practical modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-23 Lancelot F. James , Zhiyuan Zhang

Backtracking search is a powerful algorithmic paradigm that can be used to solve many problems. It is in a certain sense the dual of variable elimination; but on many problems, e.g., SAT, it is vastly superior to variable elimination in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Fahiem Bacchus , Shannon Dalmao , Toniann Pitassi

Why is it that a ticking clock typically becomes less accurate when subject to outside noise but rarely the reverse? Here, we formalize this phenomenon by introducing process causal asymmetry - a fundamental difference in the amount of past…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-09-26 Spiros Kechrimparis , Mile Gu , Hyukjoon Kwon

This paper is about vector autoregressive-moving average (VARMA) models with time-dependent coefficients to represent non-stationary time series. Contrarily to other papers in the univariate case, the coefficients depend on time but not on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Abdelkamel Alj , Christophe Ley , Guy Mélard

We analyze the Cucker-Smale model under hierarchical leadership in presence of a time delay. By using a Lyapunov functional approach and some induction arguments we will prove convergence to consensus for every positive delay $\tau$. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-06 Cristina Pignotti , Irene Reche Vallejo

We prove several results on the behavior near t=0 of $Y_t^{-t}$ for certain $(0,\infty)$-valued stochastic processes $(Y_t)_{t>0}$. In particular, we show for L\'{e}vy subordinators that the Pareto law on $[1,\infty)$ is the only possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-26 Shaul K. Bar-Lev , Andreas Löpker , Wolfgang Stadje

Let ${\mathcal A}$ be the ${\mathcal L}^q-$functional of a stable L\'evy process starting from one and killed when crossing zero. We observe that ${\mathcal A}$ can be represented as the independent quotient of two infinite products of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Julien Letemplier , Thomas Simon

We consider a sequential learning problem with Gaussian payoffs and side information: after selecting an action $i$, the learner receives information about the payoff of every action $j$ in the form of Gaussian observations whose mean is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-29 Yifan Wu , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

Recently, a whole class of evergy-preserving integrators has been derived for the numerical solution of Hamiltonian problems. In the mainstream of this research, we have defined a new family of symplectic integrators depending on a real…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Luigi Brugnano , Felice Iavernaro , Donato Trigiante

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova