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Recalibrating probabilistic classifiers is vital for enhancing the reliability and accuracy of predictive models. Despite the development of numerous recalibration algorithms, there is still a lack of a comprehensive theory that integrates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Zeyu Sun , Dogyoon Song , Alfred Hero

Error probability is a popular and well-studied optimization criterion in discriminating non-orthogonal quantum states. It captures the threat from an adversary who can only query the actual state once. However, when the adversary is able…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-11 Weien Chen , Yongzhi Cao , Hanpin Wang , Yuan Feng

Communication lower bounds have long been established for matrix multiplication algorithms. However, most methods of asymptotic analysis have either ignored the constant factors or not obtained the tightest possible values. Recent work has…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Hussam Al Daas , Grey Ballard , Laura Grigori , Suraj Kumar , Kathryn Rouse

We present a new method to propagate lower bounds on conditional probability distributions in conventional Bayesian networks. Our method guarantees to provide outer approximations of the exact lower bounds. A key advantage is that we can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Daniel Andrade , Bernhard Sick

Linear independence testing is a fundamental information-theoretic and statistical problem that can be posed as follows: given $n$ points $\{(X_i,Y_i)\}^n_{i=1}$ from a $p+q$ dimensional multivariate distribution where $X_i \in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-26 Aaditya Ramdas , David Isenberg , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

We provide an exact non-asymptotic lower bound on the minimax expected excess risk (EER) in the agnostic probably-ap\-proximately-correct (PAC) machine learning classification model and identify minimax learning algorithms as certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Aryeh Kontorovich , Iosif Pinelis

The traditional binary classification framework constructs classifiers which may have good accuracy, but whose false positive and false negative error rates are not under users' control. In many cases, one of the errors is more severe and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-22 Miloš Simić

Testing between hypotheses, when independent sampling is possible, is a well developed subject. In this paper, we propose hypothesis tests that are applicable when the samples are obtained using Markov chain Monte Carlo. These tests are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-14 Benjamin M. Gyori , Daniel Paulin

Probabilities of causation play a central role in modern decision making. Tian and Pearl first introduced formal definitions and derived tight bounds for three binary probabilities of causation, such as the probability of necessity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Shuai Wang , Yizhou Sun , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

We introduce an alternative closed form lower bound on the Gaussian process ($\mathcal{GP}$) likelihood based on the R\'enyi $\alpha$-divergence. This new lower bound can be viewed as a convex combination of the Nystr\"om approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Xubo Yue , Raed Kontar

We consider the minimum error entropy (MEE) criterion and an empirical risk minimization learning algorithm in a regression setting. A learning theory approach is presented for this MEE algorithm and explicit error bounds are provided in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-26 Ting Hu , Jun Fan , Qiang Wu , Ding-Xuan Zhou

This paper provides an overview of results and concepts in minimax robust hypothesis testing for two and multiple hypotheses. It starts with an introduction to the subject, highlighting its connection to other areas of robust statistics and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , H. Vincent Poor

Multiple imputation (MI) is a method for repairing and analyzing data with missing values. MI replaces missing values with a sample of random values drawn from an imputation model. The most popular form of MI, which we call posterior draw…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-18 Paul T. von Hippel , Jonathan Bartlett

We study a hypothesis testing problem in which data is compressed distributively and sent to a detector that seeks to decide between two possible distributions for the data. The aim is to characterize all achievable encoding rates and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-02-01 Md. Saifur Rahman , Aaron B. Wagner

We consider the problem of sequential hypothesis testing by betting. For a general class of composite testing problems -- which include bounded mean testing, equal mean testing for bounded random tuples, and some key ingredients of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Ian Waudby-Smith , Ricardo Sandoval , Michael I. Jordan

The performance of maximum-likelihood (ML) decoded binary linear block codes is addressed via the derivation of tightened upper bounds on their decoding error probability. The upper bounds on the block and bit error probabilities are valid…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 M. Twitto , I. Sason , S. Shamai

There are many different notions of optimality even in testing a single hypothesis. In the multiple testing area, the number of possibilities is very much greater. The paper first will describe multiplicity issues that arise in tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Juliet Popper Shaffer

We obtain new lower and upper bounds for probabilities of unions of events.These bounds are sharp. They are stronger than earlier ones. General bounds maybe applied in arbitrary measurable spaces.We have improved the method that has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Andrei N. Frolov

In this work, a new upper bound for average error probability of a two-user discrete memoryless (DM) multiple-access channel (MAC) is derived. This bound can be universally obtained for all discrete memoryless MACs with given input and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-01-09 Ali Nazari , Achilleas Anastasopoulos , S. Sandeep Pradhan

We develop new techniques for proving lower bounds on the least singular value of random matrices with limited randomness. The matrices we consider have entries that are given by polynomials of a few underlying base random variables. This…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Aditya Bhaskara , Eric Evert , Vaidehi Srinivas , Aravindan Vijayaraghavan