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We derive convenient uniform concentration bounds and finite sample multivariate normal approximation results for quadratic forms, then describe some applications involving variance components estimation in linear random-effects models.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Lee H. Dicker , Murat A. Erdogdu

We develop a unified mathematical framework for certified Top-$k$ attention truncation that quantifies approximation error at both the distribution and output levels. For a single attention distribution $P$ and its Top-$k$ truncation $\hat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Georgios Tzachristas , Lei Deng , Ioannis Tzachristas , Gong Zhang , Renhai Chen

Despite the remarkable empirical success of score-based diffusion models, their statistical guarantees remain underdeveloped. Existing analyses often provide pessimistic convergence rates that do not reflect the intrinsic low-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Quentin Berthet , Peter L. Bartlett

Using entropic inequalities from information theory, we provide new bounds on the total variation and 2-Wasserstein distances between a conditionally Gaussian law and a Gaussian law with invertible covariance matrix. We apply our results to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Lucia Celli , Giovanni Peccati

This note describes non-asymptotic variance and tail bounds for order statistics of samples of independent identically distributed random variables. Those bounds are checked to be asymptotically tight when the sampling distribution belongs…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Stephane Boucheron , Maud Thomas

We consider the configuration model and the uniform simple graph with given degree sequence $\boldsymbol{d}=\left(d_i\right)_{i=1}^n$. We derive quantitative bounds for the errors in (i) joint normal-Poisson approximation to the numbers of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Ryo Imai

The autocovariance and cross-covariance functions naturally appear in many time series procedures (e.g., autoregression or prediction). Under assumptions, empirical versions of the autocovariance and cross-covariance are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Andreas Anastasiou , Tobias Kley

We consider the problem of approximating a general Gaussian location mixture by finite mixtures. The minimum order of finite mixtures that achieve a prescribed accuracy (measured by various $f$-divergences) is determined within constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Yun Ma , Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

We develop a general technique for bounding the tail of the total variation distance between the empirical and the true distributions over countable sets. Our methods sharpen a deviation bound of Devroye (1983) for distributions over finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Daniel Berend , Aryeh Kontorovich

Stein's method is used to prove limit theorems for random character ratios. Tools are developed for four types of structures: finite groups, Gelfand pairs, twisted Gelfand pairs, and association schemes. As one example an error term is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jason Fulman

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

In this paper, we obtain quantitative, non-asymptotic, and data-dependent \textit{Bernstein-von Mises type} bounds on the normal approximation of the posterior distribution in exponential family models with arbitrary centring and scaling.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

We consider the discrete three dimensional scan statistics. Viewed as the maximum of an 1-dependent stationary r.v.'s sequence, we provide approximations and error bounds for the probability distribution of the three dimensional scan…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-18 Alexandru Amarioarei , Cristian Preda

We establish a general Berry-Esseen type bound which gives optimal bounds in many situations under suitable moment assumptions. By combining the general bound with Palm theory, we deduce a new error bound for assessing the accuracy of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Louis H. Y. Chen , Adrian Röllin , Aihua Xia

Many methods for machine learning rely on approximate inference from intractable probability distributions. Variational inference approximates such distributions by tractable models that can be subsequently used for approximate inference.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Oleg Arenz , Mingjun Zhong , Gerhard Neumann

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

The geometric sum plays a significant role in risk theory and reliability theory \cite{Kala97} and a prototypical example of the geometric sum is R\'enyi's theorem~\cite{Renyi56} saying a sequence of suitably parameterised geometric sums…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Qingwei Liu , Aihua Xia

We develop a general approach to Stein's method for approximating a random process in the path space $D([0,T]\to R^d)$ by a real continuous Gaussian process. We then use the approach in the context of processes that have a representation as…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 A. D. Barbour , Nathan Ross , Guangqu Zheng

We compute explicit bounds in the Gaussian approximation of functionals of infinite Rademacher sequences. Our tools involve Stein's method, as well as the use of appropriate discrete Malliavin operators. Although our approach does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-21 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati , Gesine Reinert

We propose a new version of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs, which, given a suitable exchangeable pair $(W,W')$ of real-valued random variables, suggests the approximation of the law of $W$ by a suitable absolutely continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Christian Döbler